After Monday's home loss, the Milwaukee Brewers must be wondering what it will take to get a win over the Cincinnati Reds. With Monday's MLB Picks , I made the call for a Reds win on the arm of starting pitcher Bronson Arroyo and he did not dissapoint, delivering in style a 9-5 victory. Cincinnati cashed as +110 underdogs while the 14 runs to cross the plate drove the game total OVER the posted 8 1/2. For the Brewers, as -145 series favorites, to win the three-game set with Cincinnati, they must win on back-to-back days today and Wednesday.
For the Brewers, right-hander Marco Estrada gets the call to start today's game while the Reds counter with right-hander Mike Leake. With Leake and Estrada the starters, oddsmakers list the Brewers as slim -115 MLB Lines favorites over the Reds giving -105 with a 8 1/2-run betting total. If a pitching change is made prior to the games start, it will be declared a no action by sportsbooks.
Estrada is 1-0 this season after pitching 14 innings in four games where he's packing a very respectable 3.21 ERA. Estrada has given up five runs, all earned, two home runs while striking out 13. Against Washington last Sunday, Estrada pitched well enough to win but got a no-decision despite pitching six strong innings of one-run ball, scattering five hits and a walk while striking out seven.
Leake is undefeated as a starter in 2011 with a 3-0 and 4.94 ERA in four starts with one no-decision. For his career, Leake is 11-4 in his second season with the Reds with a 4.33 career ERA. This season Leake has pitched 23.2 innings giving up 13 runs, all earned, on 20 hits, including one home run. On Thursday Leake pitched seven strong innings against the Diamondbacks allowing three runs on four hits and two walks while striking out six in the Reds 7-4 win.
For today's MLB Picks call I expect the combined game score to go OVER the posted 8 1/2 runs.