National League Central rivals New York and Philadelphia open a three game set at Citizens Bank Park tonight. This evening’s game one battle, which features starters Roy Halladay and Jonathan Niese, is scheduled for a 7:00pm ET start on ESPN. The latest MLB Point Spreads have the Phillies listed as a -167 moneyline favorite; the Under 6.5 runs is presently favored at -115 odds.
Philadelphia, the favorite at many books to win the NLCS and World Series, comes into tonight’s series opener sitting in last place in the National League East with a 14-15 record. The Phillies are coming off a 3-3 road swing that saw them take two out of three from the Braves before falling 1-2 to the Nationals in the nation’s capitol.
Philadlephia’s offense, which started the year so poorly, has been better of late, averaging 5.7 runs per game over the last six games; however, 13 of those runs came in an extra innings loss at Atlanta. Remove that result and the Phillies averaged a modest 4.2 runs per game against the Braves and Nationals, which is still better than their 3.8 rpg average for the season.
If two-time Cy Young winner Roy Halladay holds to his recent form, Philadelphia may that many runs or more this evening. Halladay, who is 3-2 on the season, saw his ERA go up to 3.40 after his last start when he yielded 12 hits and eight earned runs in the aforementioned 13-15 loss to the Braves. Prior to that uncharacteristic performance Halladay took a loss against the Cubs after giving up six hits and three earned runs over seven innings.
Fortunately for Halladay and the Phillies, his track record opposite the Mets is, well, far more Halladay-like. The 14 year veteran is 9-2 with a 2.88 ERA in 11 starts opposite New York.
Getting the call for the Mets this evening is 25 year old lefty Jonathan Niese. Niese is 2-1 on the season with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP; however, he had performed well until his last outing. The Ohio native got drilled for six hits and five earned runs over three innings in a 3-6 loss at Houston. The miserable showing served as his worst of the year, resulting in a 1.27 increase in his ERA.
The Mets, who have won five of their last seven against the Phillies, are currently three games out of first in the NL East with a 15-13 record. Their position, however, is somewhat tenuous given that their -28 run differential is the worst in the division by 24 runs.
MLB Point Spreads Betting Trend: The Over is 7-3 in the Mets last 10 games as a road dog with a total between 6 and 7 runs.
New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies 2012 MLB Point Spreads: Provided by SBG Global
New York Mets +1.5 (-140), Over 6.5 (-105), +157 (Moneyline)
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+120), Under 6.5 (-115), -167 (Moneyline)