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2012 Home Run Derby Odds & Predictions

by Scott Burgess on Monday, July 9th, 2012

The field is set for the annual MLB All-Star Home Run Derby tonight, Monday July 9th, scheduled at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City. Eight major league sluggers will be vying for the home run crown. MLB oddsmakers have Toronto’s Jose Bautista as 13/4 odds favorite to win the Home Run Derby. Let’s take a look at the Top 5 favorites to win. Be sure to check the 2012 Home Run Derby Odds and make your predictions in early before the big bats start swinging.

Jose Bautista (TOR) 13/4 – was bounced in the first round of the event last year and will have to contend with a pair of former champions in the field this year. He started the season slowly but has erupted at the plate in recent weeks. Bautista, the 2011 season home run king, caught fire with 14 homers in June and is tied for the most HRs heading into the break. Bautista did manage to hit one home run during a four-game stop in KC earlier this season.

Mark Trumbo (LAA) 5/1 – The Angels’ addition of Albert Pujols has been good for Trumbo. He’s seeing a lot more pitches hitting behind Pujols, which is why he’s got 22 homers at the break after hitting 29 all of last season. Trumbo has been consulting with 2003 derby winner and former Halo Garret Anderson, who beat Pujols in the finals that year.

Matt Kemp (LAD) 5/1 – suffered a first-round exit at the event last year. Kemp hasn’t played since May 30 due to a nagging hamstring injury and if the Dodgers brass had any smarts, they would sit their star for the entire All-Star Break. Sure, he’s the captain of the National League, but he only mustered two homers in last year’s derby – and that was at 100 percent. Hopefully, Kemp will come to his senses and take a seat for another NL slugger – Bryce Harper perhaps?

Robinson Cano (NYY) 5/1 – won the homerun derby last year with 32 long bombs. He hit 12 in the final round to edge Adrian Gonzalez. Cano has hit 13 of his 20 home runs inside Yankee Stadium, where routine fly balls turn into round-trippers with a gust from the baseball Gods. He may be lacking that extra push at Kauffman Stadium.

Carlos Beltran (STL) 11/2 – big bat had them saying “Albert who?” in Missouri through the first chunk of the schedule, hitting 15 of his 20 jacks in April and May. Those old knee issues have cooled off the Cardinals outfielder, with just five home runs in his past 127 at-bats heading into the break. The switch hitter will likely take his hacks from the left side, where he’s more powerful, and does have inside info on Kauffman Stadium, having played for the Royals.

The Bottom Line: The favorites rarely win the derby, go with the middle of the pack. Cano, Beltran or Fielder. Want to dominate the books this season with some of the best MLB Picks Experts in the business? Then sign up right now and get MLB Picks Free!

2012 Home Run Derby – Odds to Win
Jose Bautista (TOR) 13/4
Mark Trumbo (LAA) 5/1
Matt Kemp (LAD) 5/1
Robinson Cano (NYY) 5/1
Carlos Beltran (STL) 11/2
Prince Fielder (DET) 11/2
Carlos Gonzalez (COL) 13/2
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) 7/1

Homerun Derby
When: Monday July 9th, 8:00 PM ET
Pick: Cano 5/1

Point-Spreads recommends you make your 2012 Homerun Derby Predictions before the big bats start swinging.

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