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Phillies at Padres MLB Odds & Picks – August 27 2010

by Reno Gold on Friday, August 27th, 2010

Phillies at Padres MLB Odds & Picks: After getting swept in four games at home to the Houston Astros, the Philadelphia Phillies should be happy to hit the road for a change in scenry. Unfortunately for them, they open a three game weekend series with the "Best of the West", the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. The Phillies, desperate for a win, will trot to the mound veteran Roy Oswalt to start today's game. A right-hander, Oswalt has a 3-1 record since joining the Phillies with a 2.43 ERA. Countering for the Padres is phenom right-hander Matt Latos who is 13-5, to go along with a 2.33 ERA.

Oddsmakers at Sportsbook.com list the Padres, with Latos starting, as slight -138 moneyline favorites with a posted total of 6 1/2 runs. With Oswalt the starting pitcher, Philadelphia backers are getting +128 ML odds.

Oswalt has pitched as advertised with the Phillies. He is 3-1 with a 3.42 ERA in five starts since the Astros traded him to the Phillies. He has a 1.65 ERA in his past four starts. He threw seven scoreless innings Sunday in a win over the Nationals.

Latos has allowed two or fewer runs in each of his last 12 starts and three or fewer runs in his last 19 stars. Against the Cubs on Aug. 19, the 22-year-old struck out a career-high 10 in seven innings. His ERA actually went up, from 2.32 to 2.33.

The Phillies were defeated 5-1 by the Astros last time out, as -175 favorites. That game's six runs went UNDER the posted 8 1/2 run total set by Sportsbook. Kyle Kendrick surrendered nine hits and four runs over six innings in the loss.

The Padres were crushed 11-5 by the Diamondbacks last time out, as -170 favorites at home. That game's 16 runs sailed OVER the posted 7 1/2 total. Kevin Correia surrendered nine hits and nine runs over 3 1-3 innings in the Padres loss.

MLB picks: If tonight's starting pitchers pitch according to their ERA's, runs will be hard to find. Play the UNDER on the posted 6 1/2 total.

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