Daisuke Matsuzaka will try and avoid losing four in a row tonight as the Red Sox host the Blue Jays. The right-hander has struggled of late, allowing 13 runs in 18 and 1/3 innings while losing three straight. Dice K does not have a win since August 4th. The Red Sox still have a six game lead on New York in the American League East. SBG Global reports that early betting has the public taking the favored Red Sox at home.
Toronto Blue Jays (70-66) at Boston Red Sox (82-55)
Monday, 7:05 pm Eastern
Matsuzaka is 13-11 with a 3.88 ERA this season. He is 1-2 with a 6.88 ERA in his last three home starts. He did win against Toronto 9-4 on July 14th and is 2-1 with a 3.32 ERA in three starts against the Blue Jays. The Red Sox have won seven of 12 games over the Blue Jays this year, but surprisingly are only 2-4 at Fenway against them.
Toronto is coming off a three-game sweep over Seattle. They have won seven of their last 10. "Everything is kind of clicking right now," pitcher A.J. Burnett said. "We're hitting, we're playing D and the pitching staff is doing a good job." Jesse Litsch (5-6, 3.40) gets the start tonight for Toronto. Litsch gave up two runs and four hits in six innings of a 5-4 win over Oakland on Tuesday, but did not get a decision. In his only start against the Red Sox this season he gave up one run and nine hits in 6 2-3 innings to earn a 2-1 win at Fenway.
Here are the betting statistics for this game. The Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 overall. The Blue Jays are 4-1 in Litsch's last 5 road starts. The Blue Jays are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Boston.
The Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite. The Red Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 home games. The Red Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. the American League East. The Red Sox are 7-3 in Matsuzaka's last 10 home starts. The Red Sox are 1-5 in Matsuzaka's last 6 starts as a favorite. The Red Sox are 0-5 in Matsuzaka's last 5 starts vs. the American League East.
The Under is 10-2 in the Blue Jays last 12 games as a road underdog. The Under is 16-5-1 in the Blue Jays last 22 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Under is 19-7-1 in the Blue Jays last 27 road games. The Under is 24-9 in the Blue Jays last 33 vs. the American League East. The Under is 4-0 in Litsch's last 4 starts vs. the American League East. The Under is 7-1 in Litsch's last 8 road starts.
The Under is 6-1 in the Red Sox last 7 vs. the American League East. The Under is 5-1 in the Red Sox last 6 overall. The Over is 5-1 in the Red Sox last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Under is 12-4 in Matsuzaka's last 16 starts overall. The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston between the two teams.
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