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NLCS Game 5 Preview – St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets

by Thomas Jensen on Tuesday, October 17th, 2006

NLCS Game 5 Preview - St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York MetsPitchers Tom Glavine (1-0, 0.00 ERA) and Jeff Weaver (0-1, 3.18 ERA) had been scheduled to pitch on three days' rest Monday night. They will instead take the mound with full rest Tuesday when the New York Mets and St. Louis Cardinals meet in a pivotal Game 5 of the NL Championship series.
 

Glavine's toughest assignment will be to contain Albert Pujols at the plate as he did in Game 1. The St. Louis slugger went 0-for-2 with a walk in three ABs. Pujols entered the game 9-for-20 in his career against Glavine, who is 3-7 with a 3.77 ERA in 14 career postseason starts on the road. Mets are 3-0 in Glavine's last 3 starts vs. Cardinals and are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
 

Weaver pitched well in the series opener, allowing two runs and four hits over 5 2/3 innings. However, he's struggled in seven starts at home with the Cardinals this year, going 1-3 with a 6.52 ERA. But overall, the Cardinals have turned a profit when facing the Mets at home with a 19-7 record in the last 26 meetings in St. Louis.

 

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Tonight, Weaver will need to shut down Carlos Beltran, who continued to be a nemesis to St. Louis after going 3-for-3 with two solo homers and four runs scored in Sunday's 12-5 victory, helping New York tie the NLCS. The Mets center fielder is batting .385 (15-for-39) with seven homers and 18 runs scored in 11 career postseason games against the Cardinals. 

The Mets enter tonight's game as the slight chalk and when doing so they are 3-0 in their last 3 playoff games as a favorite. As well, they have feasted on right-handed pitchers away from home where they are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. righties.  
 
Being able to bounce back has been a specialty of the Cardinals who are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss. Also, they are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
 
Notable game trends:

– Mets are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
– Mets are 9-2 in their last 11 overall.
– Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
– Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
– Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
– Cardinals are 37-16 in their last 53 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
– Cardinals are 7-3 in their last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter. 

 

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