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Free NBA Pick: Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat

by Scott Burgess on Thursday, February 21st, 2008

The Miami Heat beat the Houston Rockets last meeting 98-91 as 3.5-point home dogs with the over/under set at 179. The Rockets failed to cash in on the spread and they finished over the posted total. Can the newly rejuvenated heat cover a massive 10-point spread?

 The Houston Rockets host the Miami Heat, at the Toyota Center, for some slammin NBA action. SBG Global has the Houston Rockets as 10-point favorites over the Heat with the over/under posted at 188. Get your free NBA Pick in now!

The Shaq less Miami Heat continue their losing ways even with the newly added forward Shawn Marion. Marion had 23pts and 7 rebounds in their 92-99 loss to the Chicago Bulls as 2-point favs. This was the Heats ninth loss in ten games. In their last five games the Heat has averaged 95 PPG and they average a 95 PPG on the road. The Heats overall offense averages a 30thth. They even have the 2nd worst offensive rebounding sitting ranked 29th. The Heats’ top producer is Dwayne Wade who averages 24 PPG and 7 RPG while Shawn Marion leads with 13 RPG and 3 SPG. Big guy under the basket Alonzo Mourning is out for the season with a knee injury and this hurts the Heat as he was their top blocker and he had the best field goal percentage, shooting 54% from the field. ranked 93 PPG, where the majority of their points come from the field and their 3-point shooting sits badly ranked 26

On defense the Heat have allowed 103 PPG in their last five games and their defensive rebounding has been surprisingly good averaging 45 RPG. Their overall defense allows a 18th ranked 100 PPG, their defending in the paint sits ranked 26th and they are ranked 21st at preventing the 3-point shot from getting off. The Heat sit in last place in the Southeast Standings with no hope in hell of making the Playoffs. The Heat are 4-22 on the road. Ouch! Since Marion joined the Heat they are 1-2 ATS and 1-2 over/under. Get your free NBA Pick in now!

The Houston Rockets continue their defensive dominance after their 93-85 win over the Cleveland Cavaliers as 1-point road favs. Yao Ming had 16pts and 14 rebounds while Rafer Alston had a 22pt night. Tracy McGrady was held to a low 17pts and 8 assists. The Rockets offense has averaged 95 PPG in their last five games and they average 95 PPG at home. The Rockets overall offense is averaging a 19th ranked 95 PPG, they’re ranked 19th from the field and their 3-point shooting sits ranked 22nd. The top producer for the Rockets is Yoa Ming with 22 PPG and 10 RPG while Carl Landry is 60% from the field.

On defense is where the Rockets shine. They’ve allowed a low 90 PPG in their last five games and they overall allow a 4th ranked 92 PPG. They are ranked 2nd at defending in the paint, thanks to Yao Ming, but their 3-point prevention sits ranked 17th.  The Rockets sit in 4th place in the tough Southwest Standings, four points back from 1st place New Orleans. The Rockets are 28-24-1 ATS, 12-12-1 ATS at home and 9-16 over/under at home.

Miami (9-43) at Houston (33-20)

Tipoff: Thurs, Feb 21, 2008 8:00 PM ET

Line: Sportsbetting

Pick: Houston -10

Bottom Line: The Rockets have outstanding defense combined with an average 95 PPG at home in their last five games. The Heat can’t score or defend. They’ve averaged 91 PPG in their last five and they allow 100 PPG in their last five. Get your free NBA Pick in now!

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