The Dallas Mavericks might have Dirk Nowitzki back in the lineup tonight when they host the Golden State Warriors. He will be re-evaluated with hopes of being cleared to play. Dallas leads the series 2-1. The Mavs are slipping down in the Western Playoff race while Golden State is looking for a way in. Oddsmakers at SBG Global.com have the Mavs as 4 ½-point favs over the Warriors with the over/under posted at 215. Get your NBA Pick in now at SBG Global.com
The Mavs won one game while on a three game road trip. They beat the Clippers 93-86 as 6 ½-point road favs. Jason Kidd had 27pts on the night; Josh Howard had 25pts while Jason Terry chipped in 20pts. The Mavs are 1-3 SU in their last four home games, although the losses were to teams that are high caliber. The Mavs have averaged 97 PPG in their last five and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games. On defense they’ve given up an average 99 PPG, without Dirk, and at home they allow an average 95 PPG, with Dirk. The Mavs have fallen to seventh place in the loaded Western Conference race, a half-game ahead of the eighth-place Denver and one game ahead of the Warriors. A win tonight could give Dallas the playoff tiebreaker should it and Golden State finish with an identical record. The Mavs are 30-7 SU at home and 0-10 SU against teams with a winning record since acquiring Jason Kidd.
The Warriors win, then lose, then win, then lose they’ve won five of their last ten inconsistently. They recently lost 92-116 to San Antonio as 8 ½-point roaddogs. Baron Davis had a slow night with 19pts and he made only 7 of 17 from the field. As a team they made 37% from the field and they made 8 of 20 from the 3-point line. This is unlike the Warriors. They’ve averaged 109 PPG in their last five and they are 2-3 SU on their last five road games, where they averaged 109 PPG. On defense they’ve given up an average 111 PPG and overall on the road they allow an average 108 PPG. The Warriors are 20-17 SU away from home.
Recent Trends to Consider
- Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
- Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
- Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
- Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Underdog is 20-7-1 ATS in the last 28 meetings.
- Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Dallas.
- Over is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings.
GAME: Golden State Warriors (45-29) at Dallas Mavericks (46-28)
DATE/TIME: Wednesday, April 02 – 9:30 PM EST
LINE: SBG Global.com TOTAL: 215
PICK: Golden State +4 ½
The Bottom Line: The Mavs just aren’t the same team without Dirk in the lineup. They can beat lower class teams but not high caliber teams that put up big numbers. The Warriors might not win, but rather cash in on the spread. Get your NBA Pick in now at SBG Global.com
