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NBA Playoff Prediction: San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns

by Scott Burgess on Tuesday, April 29th, 2008

NBA Playoff Prediction: San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns   The Phoenix Suns play a must win game tonight, in San Antonio, against the Spurs to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Suns down 1-3 in the Western Conference Quarter Finals have won 2 of 4 meetings there this season, once with Shaq and once without. Oddsmakers at SBGglobal.com don’t like the Suns chances as the Spurs are 5-point favs over the Suns with the over/under set at 197 ½. Get your NBA Playoff Prediction in now at SBGglobal.com

The Suns denied the Spurs a sweep after winning 105-86 on home court to force a Game 5 tonight. In the first two games, Phoenix built double-digit lead in the first half, only to give them away and allow the Spurs to rally. Not Sunday. The Suns controlled the game end-to-end. At one point in the game, the Suns held a 32 point lead. Raja Bell had a great night with 27pts, 5 assists and 6 rebounds. His shooting was spot on making 8 of 11from the field, 5 of 7 from beyond the arch and 6 for 6 from the free throw line. Shaq pulled down 12 rebounds and made 6 of 10 from the free throw line, his free throw shooting has been the best of his career. A big reason for their improved play was due to the insertion of Boris Diaw for injured Grant Hill. Diaw kept Tony Parker under check as Parker was limited to making 7 of 17 from the field and no 3-pointers. This will be key for the Suns. "We're down 3-1, we know we've got a long road to go, but we don't think about the series, we think about Tuesday," Suns coach Mike D'Antoni said. "We can win Tuesday. That's the only thing we're thinking about. That's definitely a possibility and that's what we want to make a reality." The Suns are 4-6 SU on the road.

The Spurs will be playing tonight’s game as if it’s a Game 7. "We know that winning a Game 6 there is going to be really tough. If we don't, then Game 7 we know is a lottery," Spurs guard Manu Ginobili said. "We don't even have to think that there's a Game 6 or Game 7. We have to take (Game 5) as a Game 7. We know we have a great opportunity at home." The Spurs are 10-2 SU at home where they average 98 PPG, but during their last five games they’re averaging 105 PPG. Bruce Bowen was useless last game with 1pt; don’t expect to see him in the lineup tonight. Ginobili had a bad night with 10pts and he’ll be expected to improve tonight. The Spurs said that they played a little too "relaxed" in Game 4. Coupled with the Suns' explosiveness, Game 4 was decided early for Phoenix, with Popovich pulling his stars late in the third quarter.

Recent Trends to Consider

  • Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.
  • Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
  • Suns are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
  • Spurs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games.
  • Spurs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
  • Spurs are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 playoff games as a favorite.

GAME: Phoenix Suns (56-30) at San Antonio Spurs (59-27)
DATE/TIME: Tuesday, April 29 – 9:30 PM EST
LINE:  SBGglobal.com TOTAL: 197 ½
PICK: San Antonio -5

The Bottom Line: The Spurs are going to bring everything they have to avoid a Game 6 in Phoenix. They have more players with talent and they excel at home. Parker and Ginobili are going to go off! Get your NBA Playoff Prediction in now at SBGglobal.com

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