The NBA Finals shift to South Beach as the Miami Heat host the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight, Sunday June 17th, for Game 3. Miami and OKC are tied at one apiece, while they split a pair of regular season meetings. NBA oddsmakers have the Heat as -4 point home favorites over the Thunder with the over/under set at 19.5 points. Be sure to check the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat NBA Finals Game 3 2012 NBA Point Spreads before the game tips-off.
OKC’s (13-4, 4-3 V) Kevin Durant finished with 32 points for OKC but missed a potential game-tying baseline runner with 9.9 seconds remaining. Russell Westbrook had 27 and James Harden scored 17 of his 21 points in the first half for the Thunder, who suffered their first home loss of these playoffs (9-1).
When James Harden is going, he can’t be stopped. The Thunder just need him to get going a little more often. Part of Harden’s efficiency stems from his offensive versatility. He can rain threes, handle the ball and keep defenders guessing when he drives to the hoop. Dwyane Wade can check Westbrook and LeBron can at least partially slow Durant, but it is near impossible to shut down Harden without fouling him. Not only can an untimely foul be a momentum killer for the Heat, but it can potentially get one of their star players in foul trouble. For a team as shallow as Miami, the importance of the latter cannot be overstated.
Miami (13-7, 8-2 H) evened the series on Thursday with a 100-96 win. LeBron James had 32 points, eight rebounds and five assists in that one for Miami. Dwyane Wade, whose production has been spotty at times in this postseason, added 24 points and Chris Bosh had 16 and 15 rebounds — seven offensive. Shane Battier chipped in 17 points and made 5-of-7 three-pointers.
Shane Battier is the quiet phenomenon, flaring across these Finals like something that is amazing to see but that you also fear will disappear — a shooting star. The longer he can last in that role without blinking out, the likelier Miami’s title hopes.
Since the NBA went to a 2-3-2 Finals format in 1985, the home team has won Games 3, 4 and 5 only twice (the Pistons against the Lakers in 2004 and the Heat against the Mavericks in 2006). The road team has won Games 3, 4 and 5 on three occasions.
The Bottom Line: OKC will give them a good run for their money, but the Heat will prevail. Want to dominate the books this season with some of the best NBA Picks Experts in the business? Then sign up right now and get NBA Picks Free!
Recent Trends to Consider:
Thunder are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Miami.
Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Road team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
Thunder are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
Thunder are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games.
Thunder are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat
When: Sunday, June 17th@8:00 PM EST
Pick: Heat -4
Point-Spreads recommends you check the Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder 2012 NBA Point Spreads before the tip-off.