Kentucky coach John Calipari must be pulling his hair out trying to figure out how to get a his young Wildcats to win on the road, having lost five straight on the other guy's floor. Fortunately, the Wildcats are the home team Tuesday night when they host the unranked Bulldogs of Mississippi State at Rupp Arena (7 pm Eastern, ESPN). Kentucky (17-7, 5-5 SEC) is currently in fourth place of the SEC East standings behind No. 14 Florida, 18 Vanderbilt, and Georgia. The Bulldogs (13-11, 5-5) are in second place of the weakers SEC West standings. Odds makers at most offshore sports shops list Kentucky as 17-point spreads favorites versus the Dogs with a 140 total.
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Early betting trends are showing public betting is at 81 percent siding with MSU while 65 percent are betting the game total falls UNDER the 140 points posted by odds makers. Due to the large point spread, money line odds are OFF the offshore and Las Vegas boards.
The Bulldogs have been kind to their opponents while on the road this season gonig 2-9 SU in their last 11 games and 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine. However, the Bulldogs are 4-11 ATS in their last six games when playing on the road against Kentucky while going 1-8 SU in its last nine games when playing on the road against the Wildcats.
Kentucky hasn't been real dependable for backers either, going 1-4 ATS in its last five games played anywhere. The Cats are 5-0 over their last five games played at home.
Looking for a good bet on a matchup between two clubs most dependable at failing ATS than covering can be a little tricky. Kentucky is much better at home than on the road and the same can be said for Mississippi State. However, Kentucky giving 17 is a bit much for backers to buy, even if they are at home. Look for the Dogs to cover +17 in this one. NCAAB Spreads BEST BET – Bulldogs +17.
