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Odds to Win 2014 NCAA Basketball Tournament

by Scott Burgess on Monday, March 17th, 2014

Get your brackets ready, cause “March Madness” is finally here starting Tuesday March 18th. The NCAA championship tournament features a 68-team field spread across four geographic regions. Each region has a No. 1 seed. The Florida Gators are the favorites heading into the NCAA Tournament, with the Louisville Cardinals, Arizona Wildcats, Michigan State Spartans, Kansas Jayhawks, Duke Blue Devils, and Wichita State Shockers rounding out the top teams in the NCAA Tournament. Anything can and will happen over the next three weeks. Below is a preview of the No. 1 seeds along with NCAA Odds and my pick to win it all.

florida-gators-ncaa-favoritesNo. 1 Florida (11/2) holds the tournament’s overall top seed in the South Regional, which features Kansas, Syracuse, UCLA and Virginia Commonwealth as the other top teams. The Gators have won a school-record 26 straight games.

No. 4 Louisville (13/2) has too much talent to not at least make a run at repeating as national champions. Montrezl Harrell is playing out of his mind. Over the last five games of the regular season—four of which were against tournament teams—Harrell averaged 21.2 points and 9.4 rebounds per game.

No. 1 Virginia (11/1) has one of the best defenses in the country, but they’ll eventually run into a team that can shoot three-pointers. Duke shot 46 percent from long range against them. Green Bay hit 50 percent of its triples, and Tennessee drained 61 percent. Those were all losses for Virginia. This team is neither built to play from behind nor to go bucket-for-bucket in a high-scoring game and you’re inevitably going to run into one of those types of games the deeper you go.

No. 1 Wichita State (10/1) is the first team in 23 years to enter the men’s college basketball tournament undefeated. They have the toughest road to the Final Four of the four No. 1 regional seeds. Wichita State sits atop the Midwest Regional, which features three of last year’s Final Four teams — including defending champion Louisville as a No. 4 seed — along with Kentucky and Duke, which have a combined 12 national titles and rank first and third in all-time NCAA tournament victories.

No. 1 Arizona (9/1) is still one of the best teams in the nation, despite losing a key player (Brandon Ashley) and a few games. They demonstrated that by destroying Colorado, California and Stanford in consecutive games a few weeks ago. They’ve been running a six-man rotation for more than a month, which may cause fatigue, but don’t doubt their talent. Sean Miller’s men could absolutely be cutting down the nets on April 7.

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2014 NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship – Odds to Win
Florida #1 – 11/2
Michigan State #4 – 6/1
Louisville #4 – 13/2
Arizona #1 – 9/1
Wichita State #1 – 10/1
Virginia #1 – 11/1
Duke #3 – 12/1
Kansas #2 – 12/1
Creighton #3 – 20/1
Michigan #2 – 20/1
Syracuse #3 – 20/1
Villanova #2 – 20/1
Wisconsin #2 – 20/1
Iowa State #3 – 33/1
Kentucky #8 – 33/1
North Carolina #6 – 40/1
Oklahoma State #9 – 40/1
UCLA #4 – 40/1
San Diego State #4 – 50/1
Cincinnati #5 – 66/1
Connecticut #7 – 66/1
Ohio State #6 – 66/1
Pittsburgh #9 – 66/1
Tennessee #11 – 66/1
VCU #5 – 66/1
Iowa #11 – 75/1
Baylor #6 – 100/1
Gonzaga #8 – 100/1
Memphis #8 – 100/1
New Mexico #7 100/1
Oklahoma #5 – 100/1
Oregon #7 – 100/1
Saint Louis #5 – 100/1
Texas #7 – 100/1
UMass #6 – 100/1
Kansas State #9 – 200/1
Providence #11 – 200/1
Colorado #8 – 250/1
George Washington #9 – 250/1
Nebraska #11 – 250/1
Saint Joe’s #10 – 250/1
Stanford #10 – 250/1
Harvard #12 – 300/1
NC State #12 – 300/1
Xavier #12 – 300/1
Arizona State #10 – 500/1
BYU #10 – 500/1
Dayton #11 – 500/1
North Dakota State #12 – 500/1
SF Austin #12 – 500/1
Albany #16 – 1000/1
American – 1000/1
Cal Poly #16 – 1000/1
Coastal Carolina #16 – 1000/1
Delaware #13 – 1000/1
Eastern Kentucky #15 – 1000/1
Manhattan #13 – 1000/1
Mercer #14 – 1000/1
Mount Saint Mary’s #16 – 1000/1
NC Central #14 – 1000/1
New Mexico State #13 – 1000/1
Texas Southern #16 – 1000/1
Tulsa #13 – 1000/1
UL Lafayette #14 – 1000/1
UW-Milwaukee #15 – 1000/1
Weber State #16 – 1000/1
Western Michigan #14 – 1000/1
Wofford #15- 1000/1

The Bottom Line: Kansas has looked downright dominant at times with Joel Embiid and with Andrew Wiggins carrying his team. For the Jayhawks to go on a run without Embiid, they need Wiggins to be on. Considering the level he’s playing at right now, that’s entirely possible. We recommend you sign up with Bovada to receive a 10% sign up bonus heading into the NCAA Tournament.

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