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2012 Final Four Predictions

by Matt Foust on Saturday, March 31st, 2012

kentucky wildcatsWhat once was 68 is now four. Left standing are a one seed, two two seeds, and a four seed. On the line? Greatness, infamy, legend. All four remaining schools know a little something about each of those things, but only one will add to its legacy this weekend. So which team will that be…Kansas? Ohio State? Maybe Louisville? Or will it be Kentucky, the favorite to win it all before it all began. Well, according to the latest NCAA Point Spreads, the Wildcats (-130 moneyline odds) will garner Head Coach John Calipari his first National Championship trophy and the school its eighth National Title.

Why Kentucky wins it all -

Almost everyone would agree that Kentucky has the most talented team in all of college basketball, but talent does not always win championships. Sometimes overly talented teams fracture due to selfishness or they simply never come together as a cohesive unit. Neither of those things are the case when it comes to the Wildcats, though. Despite being young, this team plays a mature, unselfish brand of basketball and it also gives it up on both ends of the floor.

The Wildcats, who are averaging 77.9 points per game on the season, have six players that average double figures in scoring and three of those individuals, Anthony Davis, Terrence Jones, and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, also average seven or more rebounds per game. There is no one player for opposing coaches to focus when facing Kentucky, you sell out to stop Davis and Kidd-Gilchrist could drop 25 or Jones or Marquis Teague or Doron Lamb… the list goes on. No other team has as many offensive options, which means the Wildcats are less susceptible to a horrific shooting day. Someone is usually there to pick up the slack.

Kentucky is also a terrible match-up on defense. The Wildcats rank first in the nation in field goal percentage against (37.5) and they are near the top in defensive rebounds per game with a 19.8 average. So, not only do they make you miss, they seldom give you another look at the basket after you do.

Could the Wildcats fail to meet expectations? Sure, many a team has, but it would certainly be an upset because Kentucky had no equal when the NCAA Tournament tipped off and it still does not.

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2012 Final Four Predictions: Provided by Bovada.lv

Louisville Cardinals +8.5 (-110)
Kentucky Wildcats -8.5 (-110)

Kansas Jayhawks +2.5 (-110)
Ohio State Buckeyes -2.5 (-110)

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