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Clemson at Wake Forest College Football Pick

by Alexander Banks on Thursday, October 9th, 2008

Clemson Tigers at Wake Forest Demon Deacons College Football Pick: Betting Line-Wake Forest by -1 1/2 (Total 42 1/2); Television-ESPN; Kickoff 8 p.m. ET; Groves Stadium; Winston-Salem N.C. Betting odds provided by Sportsbook.com .

 

Thursday's game between the Clemson Tigers (3-2 SU, 0-3 ATS) and Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS) on Wake’s home field in Winson-Salem, N.C. has been circled on the calendar as a showdown between the two pre-season ACC Atlantic Division favorites. Clemson started the season as everybody’s pick to win the conference title and was the subject of some national championship talk. However a bad nationally televised loss to Alabama in their opener and a surprise loss to Maryland in week-4 have the Tigers doing some damage control.

Coach Jim Grobe and his Demon Deacons are also doing some damage control after turning the ball over six times and losing at home to Navy in their last outing. Fortunately for Wake, its game with Navy was not a league contest. The Demon Deacons currently sit atop the very tight Atlantic Division at 1-0. Clemson is knotted in second place at 1-1 with three other teams, Boston College, Florida State and Maryland.

Online oddsmakers at Sportsbook.com currently list Wake Forest as -1 ½ chalk favorites ATS after betting opened at -2 ½. The total is holding at 42 1/2. Money line odds are off-board at press deadline.

Clemson has a 7-2 record against Wake Forest under Tommy Bowden, but five of the seven Clemson wins have been decided by 10 points or less. The Tigers won 12-3 in 1999, 21-14 in 2001, 31-23 in 2002 and 37-30 in double overtime in 2004. The Tigers won 27-17 in 2006, but trailed 17-3 entering the fourth period. Clemson's only two large margins against Wake Forest under Bowden took place in 2000 when Clemson won by a 55-9 score and last year when Clemson won 44-10.

Prior to making your bets, there are some interesting trend facts the gambler must consider. Wake Forest is 11-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last three seasons and is 8-1 when the line is +3 to -3 over the last three seasons. Keep in mind that tonight’s game with Clemson would fall into this range.

Clemson is 41-24 ATS as an underdog since 1992. Clemson backers will like this note; Wake Forest is only 1-9 ATS in home games after a bye week since 1992. Maryland is coming off a bye week following the Navy loss.

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