Air Force at UNLV 2010 College Football Picks: Air Force will travel to play UNLV in a Thursday night college football game at UNLV's Sam Boyd Stadium, with kickoff set for 10 pm ET, and will be televised on CBSC. The Falcons, at 7-4 overall and 4-3 in MWC play, have no chance of winning the league championship, but with eight wins, will enhance their bowl outlook. As for the Rebels, its a different story. UNLV, at 2-8 overall and 2-4 MWC, will not go bowling this year. However, with nothing to lose, could give Air Force a good game.
Online sportsbook Bodog.com is consistent with most offshore betting sites listing Air Force as 19 1/2-chalk favorites versus UNLV with a betting total of 57 points.
UNLV does not field a quality football team, as their 2-8 record indicates, and it's highly unlikely they win versus Air Force tonight. The Falcons will get their eighth win in their final game of the regular season; the question is – by how much? With the exception of their three point loss at Oklahoma in Week-3 of the season, Air Force has not been a great road team. They won by six at Wyoming as a -13 1/2 favorite in Week-4 then the next time they travelled Air Force lost SU to San Diego State 25-27 as a 1-chalk fav. The Falcons failed to cover as an 18 1/2 dog at TCU the next week. The Falcons finally got a SU road win and cover at Army on Nov. 6. While the Falcons sport a 7-4 overall record, they are 4-7 ATS. One thing that is consistent with the Falcons, they have held the bettin total UNDER the posted number in 7-of-10 games lined by sportsbooks.
The Rebels have had a dreadful 2010 season overall, but have shown some competitive spirit at home. They covered as +21 point dogs in their opener, losing SU to Wisconsin 21-41. UNLV beat New Mexico in their next home game in Week-4 and covered ATS as a -10 1/2 favorite. UNLV battled hard against the powerful Nevada Wolfpack on Oct. 2, finally losing by 18 but covering the point-spread as an 18 1/2 home underdog. Only once, against TCU, as a 35 1/2 home underdog, did the Rebels fail to cover the spread at home. I think UNLV shows up tonight and at least covers the 19 1/2-chalk.
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