Tonight’s the night, Alabama and LSU will settle, once and for all, exactly who is the best team in the nation. This evening’s BCS National Championship Game, which features the two SEC West rivals, is scheduled to kick off at 8:30pm ET at the Mercedes Benz Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana; it will be broadcast live on ESPN. The latest bowl game odds have the Crimson Tide listed as a -2 against the spread favorite and the Over/Under set at 40 points. Before making your 2012 BCS National Championship Game pick get all the latest Alabama vs LSU Spread available now.
It could be argued Alabama needs to play the same game tonight that it did against LSU in early November in order to defeat the nation’s top ranked team, just sprinkle in a few field goals. The Crimson Tide scored more first downs, converted more third downs, out-gained the Tigers 295 to 239, had one fewer penalty, and played even in the turnover department but lost to Les Miles’ ultra-confident squad 9-6 in overtime thanks to four missed field goals.
Despite that argument, it is certain Alabama head coach Nick Saban, who is seeking his third National Championship, expects more out of his team tonight because while Alabama won most of the stat categories, it hardly dominated the game.
If the Tide are to dominate tonight, it will, no doubt, be because of their suffocating defense. Alabama ranks first in the FBS in both points and yards per game allowed at 8.8 and 191.3 respectively and they gave up more than 20 points just one time all season. Saban’s wrecking crew also forced the Tigers into, by far, their worst offensive effort of the year.
LSU, which threw for 91 yards and rushed for a 3.6 yards per carry average in its first meeting with Alabama, averaged 41 points per game in its other 12 games and it tallied 41 or more points in each of the four games it played after taking on the Tide.
Even if Alabama is able to keep the Tigers in check tonight, there is no guarantee it will knock them off. LSU has talent all over the field and is opportunistic enough on defense and special teams to overcome a poor offensive outing. The Tigers and their enigmatic head coach also play with a confidence seldom seen in collegiate athletics. LSU has suffered through poor starts, suspensions, off the field turmoil, and yet it has smashed its opposition by an average of 25.9 points per game.
All signs point to this being another slug fest, but based upon the last game, most people are inclined to favor the Tide, who gained an almost across the board statistical advantage. Count this writer in that camp. An LSU victory is hardly a stretch and it certainly would not be a surprise, but it is not expected.
BCS National Championship Betting Trend: Alabama is 9-1 straight up in its last 10 games as a favorite with a total between 37 and 41 points.
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Alabama vs LSU 2012 BCS National Championship Game Spreads: Provided by SBG Global
Alabama Crimson Tide -2 (-110), Over 40 (-110), -135 (Moneyline)
LSU Tigers +2 (-110), Under 40 (-110), +115 (Moneyline)