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Free College Football Picks for October 7th, 2006

by Thomas Jensen on Saturday, October 7th, 2006

Free College Football Picks for October 7th, 2006Kansas vs. Texas A&M 12:00 EST

Scratching my head here trying to figure out why the Jayhawks are indeed the underdogs in this spot? I'm not going to waste too much of my time trying to figure it out, but instead I'm going to react to my gut feeling here that the Mighty Mangino's take care of business at home and play them on the $$$-Line. Texas A&M by no means deserves to be the favorite in this match-up. They're coming off a heartbreaking defeat at the hands of in state rival Texas Tech, and are now being asked to bounce back from it on the road as favorites no less. Definitely not a recipe for success.

Kansas lost a tough one in OT as well (2nd road OT loss this year) last week to Nebraska, but they gained a sense of self-confidence throughout the contest and will most definitely carry it over into today's bounce back game. Huge coaching edge goes to the crimson and red as Mangino is leaps and bounds better than this Franchione guy whose done nothing but live on his past success at TCU in his last two coaching stops. KU's offense exploded last week against a decent Husker stop unit, and should have no problems picking apart an A&M defense that gets absolutely no pressure up front.

Look for QB Barmann to find wide open passing lanes and hook up with WR's Murph, Fields, and TE Fine. Then look for RB Cornish to chew up chunks of yardage to keep the Aggies "D" guessing all game long. Kansas did a great job limiting the Huskers on the ground last week, and have done a great job all year only allowing 89 YPG & 3.1 YPC. Look for the Jayhawks front 7 to be in the grill of A&M QB McGee all day, and force him to beat them with his arm. He hasn't done it yet this year, and I'm not expecting him to get it done this afternoon either.

The Aggies are a woeful 3-12 ATS on the road in the Franchione era, while the Jayhawks are spread winners at home in 10 of their L/13 games in Lawrence. On top of that, Mangino's club has won 3 of their L/4 home games SU when installed as the underdog!

Free College Football Picks: Take Kansas +120

Air Force vs. Navy 2:00 EST

This will be the Midshipmen's second road game in a row, and they're going into hostile territory against a much-improved Air Force squad. Colorado Springs won't be very welcoming, and Air Force will be chomping at the bit to get a piece of Navy after letting last year's game slip away in the fourth quarter. HC DeBerry and his Fly Boys will snap their losing streak in style, and pick up a very impressive home win and cover!

The Middies put forth a fantastic comeback a year ago in Annapolis to pull off their third straight victory over the Falcons. They're coming off a dominating effort over UCONN, but now have to travel out East to take on a resurgent Air force club that's won two in a row, and would love nothing more than to get a leg up on attaining the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy. Look for them to do so behind an onslaught on the ground, and with what I believe to be the better overall stop unit.

Free College Football Picks: Take Air Force -2

Michigan vs. Michigan State 4:30 EST

While the points look attractive in this heated in-state rivalry, don't fall for the trap that so many have already (line down from 17.5). MSU is a ticking time bomb, and it won't take much for them to simply give up once the game starts to get away from them. They've got a lame duck coach leading them, and an injured field general going up against a nasty defense. Not a recipe for success; especially in "The Big House"!

The home squad has been a money burner in this series the L/3 years (0-3 ATS), but I believe that streak comes to an end this afternoon. Michigan State's club is in complete disarray, and I don't believe they'll have the mindset that will allow them to believe they can compete in this game. The Wolverines needed OT to defeat them the L/2 seasons, but the circumstances surrounding those two games were much different.

Sparty had yet to see its season crumble in a downward spiral, and still had Big 10 Championship aspirations when they took the field both times. That's just simply not the case this time around. They suffered a gut-wrenching defeat two weeks ago at the hands of the Irish, and then followed it up with a Homecoming loss to Illinois last week. The Illini hadn't won a Big 10 road game in almost 2 year's, and they were 20+ point home chalks!  Their psyche is bruised and battered heading into this game, and this is quite simply one of the best wolverine outfits Ann Arbor has had in years.

On top of that, Runnning Back Javon Ringer is done for the season, Quarterback Stanton has bruised ribs and is one solid shot away from missing a couple weeks, and the Spartans Offensive Line has suffered a number of injuries. Not a good thing when going against this wolverine stop unit that's completely shut down opposing rushing attacks and has shown no mercy.

Free College Football Picks: Take Michigan -15

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