It's too bad college football nation must wait a whole month before Alabama and Texas hook up in the BCS Championship Game. Why? – because the teams will be different. Oh of course the players are the same but following the layoff, the chemistry will have changed. To get a truer sense of who is best, they should play a week later.
Oddsmakers, who are a smart bunch of folks, take this long layoff into account when setting betting lines. At Sportsbook.com, oddsmakers opened betting with Alabama as a 4 1/2-chalk favorite versus the Longhorns. Public gamblers, seeing -4 1/2 as very friendly, pounced on it to the tune of 94%. Due to heavy betting action favoring Alabama, Sportsbook oddsmakers have since adjusted the line to -5 1/2. If the game were to be played next week, the betting line would have opened favoring Alabama by at least -6 1/2 or -7 and by kickoff it probably will.
In totals betting, gamblers, by 96% expect the combined score to go OVER the 45 posted total.
Based on recent play, Alabama is seen as a superior team to Texas. Because of this, it's likely the line will continue to move in order to balance betting among the teams.
Alabama giving -5 1/2 is still a good value bet but if the line moves favoring the Tide by a touchdown or more, then gamblers might should start re-thinking their wagering preference.
Gamblers who like to chew on betting trends, should not put much stock in them for the BCS Championship. Comparing how Texas did ATS compared to Alabama during the season is like comparing apples and oranges. Of 13 games played, Texas went 7-5-1 ATS while Alabama cashed for backers in 8-of-12.
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