On the eve of the AFC Championship Picks game both print and TV articles are loaded with predictions and reasons as to who is going to win the New England Patriots and San Diego Chargers matchup. For the most part this information focuses on covering the spread or beating the over/under. There is not much thought about other proposition bets that could potentially be worth considering. Certainly, New England comes into this one with arguably the best QB in the NFL, if not the history of the NFL, who ended the regular season throwing a record 50 touchdown passes. It didn’t take long for Tom Brady to continue his record setting pace as he came out completing 26 of 28 passes along with three touchdowns. So with all of his success will Brady throw a touchdown pass before an interception in the AFC Championship Game. Sportsbetting.com believes that he will throw a touchdown first as this prop is listed at -320.
This week he will be facing a defense that has been able to intercept 4 passes thus far in the playoffs and an AFC high 30 during the regular season. Teams who have had the most success versus Brady seem to be the ones who have been able to put the pressure on him and force arrant throws. That could also play into San Diego’s hands as they were second in the AFC this season with 42 sacks of the quarterback. Another key factor that could come into play is the fact that cornerback Antonio Cromartie will be playing this week when he wasn’t even the starter back with these two teams played back on September 16th. All he did was have one of San Diego's two key interceptions of Peyton Manning last week.
The last time they played the Chargers did intercept Brady once as he also threw three touchdown passes in the 38-14 New England win. If you’re wondering what came first in that game, it was a Brady touchdown pass to TE Benjamin Watson 2 minutes and 46 seconds into the game.
Michael Alexander has been handicapping the NFL for over 20 years and is locked and loaded for the Winners in both Playoff games this weekend. Join Michael at Alexandersports as he has more GUARANTEED selections
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