The Super Bowl LI participants will be decided tomorrow with the Packers and Falcons squaring off in the NFC Championship Game and the Steelers and Patriots meeting in the AFC Championship Game. The NFL odds makers at Bovada.lv are expecting the Falcons and Patriots to clash for the Lombardi Trophy two weeks from now. The latest 2017 AFC and NFC Championship Odds have New England and Atlanta favored at -4 and -6 points, respectively.
When Pittsburgh and New England meet in Week 7 at Heinz Field, the Steelers had plenty to feel good about. They were 3-0 at home with lopsided wins over the Bengals, Chiefs and Jets; however, Landry Jones started in place of the injured Ben Roethlisberger.
In spite of Jones presence under center, the Steelers outgained the Patriots 375 yards to 362 and they held the ball for 32:29. New England prevailed 27-16, though, converting on 7-of-12 on third down while also going 3-for-3 in the red zone.
Tom Brady finished the game with 222 yards and two touchdowns on 19-of-26 passing. Legarrette Blount also had a big day, amassing 127 yards and two touchdowns on 24 carries.
Pittsburgh will be at full strength this week, but they are facing a healthy Pats squad in New England. Brady and Belichick are 4-1 at home in conference championship games and they are 2-0 against the Steelers in AFC Championship play. And there are these numbers, produced by NFL Research, for Pittsburgh to contemplate: Brady is 5-1 against Mike Tomlin coached teams with a 127.5 passer rating, a 71.2 completion percentage and a 19-0 touchdown to interception ratio.
The NFC Championship Game also features a rematch as the Packers and Falcons met in Atlanta in Week 7. The Falcons squeaked out a 33-32 victory in spite of a 28-for-38, 246 yard, four-touchdown effort from Aaron Rodgers (also ran for 60 yards on six carries).
Matt Ryan threw for 288 yards and three touchdowns in the win. Mohamed Sanu and Taylor Gabriel combined for 12 catches, 152 yards and two touchdowns to make up for a lackluster three catch, 29 yard performance from Julio Jones.
The victory snapped Atlanta’s four-game losing streak to the Packers, who had throttled the Falcons 48-21 and 25-14 in their two most recent trips to the Georgia Dome.
Green Bay enters tomorrow’s game both sick and banged up. Wide receivers Davante Adams, Geronlmo Allison and Jordy Nelson are all questionable, leaving Rodgers few healthy targets. Meanwhile, Jones has been limited in practice for the Falcons this week.
2017 AFC and NFC Championship Betting Trends:
The Under is 5-1 in the Steelers last six games playing as road dog coming off a road win.
New England is 4-0 both straight up and against the spread in its last four games playing as a home favorite coming off a home win in which it scored 28 or more points (scored 43-22, 45-7, 36-7 and 27-10 wins).
Since 1998, the Falcons are 1-9-1 against the spread playing as home favorite coming off a home win in which they scored 30 or more points. Last week’s win over the Seahawks marked the lone cover in that stretch.
The Packers are 6-0 against the spread in their last six games playing as a road dog coming off a game in which they were a road dog.
2017 AFC and NFC Championship Odds: NFL Odds Provided Bovada.lv
2017 NFC Championship Game – Sunday, January 22 (3:05pm ET, FOX)
Green Bay Packers +4 (+110), Over 61.5 (-115), +170 (Moneyline)
Atlanta Falcons -4 (-130), Under 61.5 (-105), -200 (Moneyline)
2017 AFC Championship Game – Sunday, January 22 (6:40pm ET, CBS)
Pittsburgh Steelers +6 (+100), Over 51 (-105), +200 (Moneyline)
New England Patriots -6 (-120), Under 51 (-115), -240 (Moneyline)