The Packers vs Steelers Line for 2011 Super Bowl is out and the NFL oddsmakers have the Green Bay Packers as -3 (+105) point favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Steelers +3 (-125) and win Super Bowl XLV. The over/under is currently posted at 45 combined points. Super Bowl XLV features two of the best defenses of the 2010-11 NFL season, let's take a indepth look at who has the edge on defense. Be sure to check the 2011 Super Bowl Lines and bet on the Green Bay Packers vs Pittsburgh Steelers Spread before kick off on Sunday February 6th.
Super Bowl XLV is going to come down to defense. We all know "Defense wins championships." But it really should be "Pass defense wins championships." Great offenses are those that pass effectively. And great defenses are those that make life hell on opposing quarterbacks. You can talk about "establishing the run" and "stopping the run" all you want, but history proves it's all about the passing game. Throughout history, teams that dominate in Defensive Passer Rating dominate on the field. The Steelers and Packers continue the trend.
Pittsburgh was No. 1 this year in scoring defense (14.5) and Green Bay was No. 2 (15.0 PPG). Green Bay was No. 1 in Defensive Passer Rating (67.2) — in other words, quarterbacks combined to post a humble 67.2 passer rating against the Pack this year. Pittsburgh was No. 2 in Defensive Passer Rating (73.8). Their effectiveness on run defense varied widely. Pittsburgh surrendered just 3.01 yards per attempt on the ground this year. That effort was spectacular: the fifth-best run defense in the Super Bowl Era. The Packers surrendered 4.64 ypa on the ground this year. Only four defenses were worse against the run.
The common denominator between the league's two stingiest defenses was an ability to frustrate opposing quarterbacks. Just look at this year's final four: Green Bay No. 1 in Defensive Passer Rating; Pittsburgh No. 2; Chicago No. 3 (74.4); and N.Y. Jets No. 6 (77.1).
Recent Trends to Consider:
- Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Steelers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 playoff games.
- Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog.
- Packers are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Steelers last 4 playoff games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
- Under is 6-1 in Packers last 7 games following a S.U. win.
- Under is 8-3 in Packers last 11 games following a ATS win.
Green Bay Packers vs Pittsburgh Steelers
When: Sunday, Feb 06, 2011@6:25 PM ET
Pick: Steelers +3
Point-Spreads.com recommends you get your Super Bowl Picks in early and bet the 2011 Super Bowl Lines before the start of the Green Bay Packers vs Pittsburgh Steelers game kicks off!
The Bottom Line: This game is going to be won by a final second field goal. I think Pittsburgh will cover the spread, take the Packers on the moneyline and take UNDER 45 points. Be sure to check the 2011 Super Bowl Lines and make your 2011 NFL Playoff Predictions on the Green Bay Packers vs Pittsburgh Steelers 2011 Super Bowl Odds in early.
