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NFL Week 1 Picks: Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears Spreads

by Scott Burgess on Saturday, September 10th, 2011

The Atlanta Falcons start the 2011 NFL season on the road in Chicago, Sunday Sept 11th, against the Bears. The Falcons have won two straight over the Bears, but Atlanta has lost five straight in Chicago. NFL oddsmakers have the Falcons as -2.5 point road favorites over the Bears with the over/under set at 40.5 points. Start the 2011 NFL season off right by getting your bet on the latest Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears Spreads available now.

Atlanta has an experienced offense to go with an experienced defense. The Falcons have Roddy White, who caught an NFL-high 115 passes last season, and they moved up 21 spots in the draft to add speedy receiver Julio Jones with the sixth pick. Atlanta ranked next-to-last in passing plays of at least 20 yards in 2010 — an area that could improve dramatically with Jones joining White. An improved passing attack could mean a lighter workload for RB Michael Turner, who piled up 1,371 yards rushing and 12 touchdowns last season. On offense they ran the ball for an average of 118.2 yards per game and passed for 223 yards per game, enough to rank 12th and 15th overall in those categories. On defense they allowed 105.9 rushing yards per game and 226.6 passing yards per game, ranking 10th and 22nd overall.

Chicago QB Jay Cutler was sacked an NFL-high 52 times in 2010, and was taken aback when his toughness was questioned. He's now healthy and enters his third season in Chicago looking to quiet critics and lead Chicago back to the postseason. Having RB Matt Forte in the backfield should help. He had 1,616 yards from scrimmage last season and ranks seventh all-time in franchise history with 3,236 rushing yards. The Bears finished the 2010 season second in the league defending the run, allowing an average of 90.1 yards per game. They finished 20th overall in pass defense, allowing 224 passing yards per game on average but surrendering only 14 passing touchdowns, a league second best only behind the New Orleans Saints in total touchdowns allowed through the air. They won eleven games in 2010, but the Bears struggled all season on offense, ranking 28th on passing yards and 22nd overall in rushing yards.

Recent Trends to Consider:
Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
Falcons are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 1.
Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.

Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears
When: Sunday Sept 11th@1:00 PM ET
Pick: Falcons -2.5

Point-Spreads recommends you check the latest NFL Odds before the Falcons vs Bears game starts.

The Bottom Line: The Bears should take this one in front of their home crowd, but the Falcons have what it takes to win. Start the 2011 NFL season off right by getting your bet on the latest Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears Spreads available now.

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