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NFL Week 3 Picks 2013

by Scott Burgess on Tuesday, September 17th, 2013

In Week 3 of the 2013-14 NFL season we have former coach of the Eagles, Andy Reid, going into Philly to challenge Chip Kelly’s high powered offense, Giants are underdogs against Panthers, could go 0-3, RG III is back at home against Lions as favorites, Packers host a Bengals squad fresh off beating Steelers, Seahawks the biggest point spread at home against Jaguars and Bears in Pittsburgh, Steelers in jeopardy of starting 0-3. Let’s take a look the NFL Point Spreads, Trends  and my NFL Picks for Week 3.

eli-manning-vs-cam-newtonThursday, September 19, 2013@8:25 PM ET
Kansas City at Philadelphia (-3) (O/U-50) PICK: Eagles -3
Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Eagles are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Eagles are 0-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 12-3-1 in Eagles last 16 home games.

Sunday, September 22, 2013@1:00 PM ET
Houston (-1) at Baltimore (O/U-44.5) PICK: Texans -1
Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Ravens are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 3.
Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Over is 5-1 in Ravens last 6 games in Week 3.
Over is 8-2 in Ravens last 10 games in September.

N.Y. Giants (+1) at Carolina (O/U-45.5) PICK: Giants +1
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Giants are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.

Detroit (+1) at Washington (O/U-49) PICK: Lions +1
Under is 6-1-2 in the last 9 meetings.
Home team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Washington.
Lions are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games in Week 3.
Lions are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Lions are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

San Diego (+3) at Tennessee (O/U-43.5) PICK: Chargers +3
Chargers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Titans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC.
Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Arizona at New Orleans (-9.5) (O/U-48.5) PICK: Saints -9.5
Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in New Orleans.
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 3.

Tampa Bay (+9) at New England (O/U-44) PICK: Bucs +9
Over is 11-1 in Patriots last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games in Week 3.
Buccaneers are 4-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Buccaneers are 7-1-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

Green Bay (-1) at Cincinnati (O/U-48)
Under is 5-0 in Bengals last 5 home games.
Under is 4-1 in Packers last 5 games in Week 3.
Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Bengals are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bengals are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 3.
Bengals are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

St. Louis at Dallas (-4) (O/U-47) PICK: Cowboys -4
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Rams are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Cowboys are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games.

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Cleveland at Minnesota (-4.5) (O/U-41) PICK: Vikings -4.5
Under is 4-0 in Browns last 4 games in September.
Under is 5-0 in Browns last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 5-1 in Browns last 6 road games.
Vikings are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Vikings are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 3.
Browns are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Browns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

Sunday, September 22, 2013@4:05 PM ET
Atlanta at Miami (-1) (O/U-44) PICK: Falcons +1
Falcons are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.

Sunday, September 22, 2013@4:25 PM ET
Buffalo at N.Y. Jets (-1) (O/U-39) PICK: Bills +1
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
Bills are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in New York.
Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Bills are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC East.
Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.

Indianapolis at San Francisco (-10) (O/U-46) PICK: 49ers -10
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Over is 7-0 in 49ers last 7 home games.
Over is 8-1 in 49ers last 9 games overall.
Colts are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss.
49ers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
49ers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.

Jacksonville at Seattle (-19.5) (O/U-40.5) PICK: Seahawks -19.5
Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Under is 8-0 in Seahawks last 8 games in September.
Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Jaguars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Jaguars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Seahawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Seahawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 3.

Sunday, September 22, 2013@8:30 PM ET
Chicago (-1) at Pittsburgh (O/U-39.5) PICK: Bears -1
Under is 4-0 in Steelers last 4 games overall.
Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Bears are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Steelers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.

Monday, September 23, 2013@8:30 PM ET
Oakland at Denver (-14) (O/U-49) PICK: Broncos -14.5
Raiders are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Denver.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Road team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Broncos are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Broncos are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Raiders are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Monday games.
Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Raiders are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

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