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NFL Week 3 Picks: Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Betting Odds

by Scott Burgess on Saturday, September 25th, 2010

NFL Week 3 Picks on the Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Betting Odds: The Chicago Bears play host to the Green Bay Packers, Monday Sept 27, for some Monday Night Football. The Packers won both their meetings last season. NFL oddsmakers at Sportsbook.com have the Packers as -3 point road favorites over the Bears while the game's total has been posted at 46 points . Be sure to get your NFL Week 3 Picks on the Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Betting Odds in now at Sportsbook.com    

The Packers (2-0) crushed Buffalo 34-7 at home. QB Aaron Rodgers completed 19 of 29 passes for 255 with two TD’s as he enters the season among expected MVP candidates. He started his first six quarters with a 72.8 passer rating before turning it on in the second half against lowly Buffalo. Aaron Rodgers and his offense will be against the Bears' cover-2 system, Rodgers has thrown for more than 225 yards once. Twice he's been below 200 yards. He has especially made a point of not committing big mistakes, a strength of his against most teams. So far this year he has looked more at tight ends and backs than downfield. The Bears' secondary can be exploited, though, as Detroit showed at game's end. But Rodgers will need to buy time with his feet to do it. Even with Rodgers playing well, the Packers will find it difficult to beat a rejuvenated Bears defense on their own field without some sort of complementary rushing game. When they've won in the past it's been using play-action passes after running a bit . Without injured Ryan Grant, it's up to Jackson, who averages only 3.2 yards a carry.

The Bears (2-0) won in Dallas 27-20. QB Jay Cutler made 21 of 29 passes for 277 yards with three TD’s. Cutler has been the hottest QB in the NFL, leading the league in passer rating (121.2) and yards per pass attempt (10.1) in the new Mike Martz offense. Cutler seems to have learned something new from Mike Martz — throwing the ball away instead of into a crowd . He threw it away four times last week. The Green Bay 3-4 gave him trouble last year, but Dallas' version didn't last week. The Bears defense has been solid with the return of Brian Urlacher. Against the Packers a year ago Urlacher's season ended after one half of play with a dislocated wrist. The Packers like to throw the deep middle of zones, where they can find tight end Jermichael Finley, who leads them in receiving yards (150). Urlacher has resembled anything but a fading talent so far in run and pass, partrolling the middle and punishing tight ends or backs with big hits.

Recent Trends to Consider:

  • Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
  • Packers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Chicago.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
  • Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
  • Packers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
  • Packers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears
When: Mon, Sept 27, 8:20 PM ET
Line: Sportsbook.com
Pick:  Packers -3

Point-Spreads.com NFL Week 3 Picks on the Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Betting Odds
    
The Bottom Line: the Packers should get just enough of a rushing attack to keep the Chicago pass defense off balance. Be sure to get your NFL Week 3 Picks on the Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Betting Odds in now at Sportsbook.com and get a 50% Deposit Bonus and $25 Free Bet, simply use promo code WIN50 and start winning today!

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