Jets vs Patriots Spreads 2011 NFL Picks Week 5: The New England Patriots host their bitter rivals the New York Jets, Sunday Oct 9th, as the Patriots look for revenge from last January’s playoff loss. The Jets have won three of five over the Patriots. NFL oddsmakers have the Patriots as -9.5 point home favorites over the Jets with the over/under set at 49.5 points. Finish off your NFL Picks Week 5 right by getting your bet on the latest Jets vs Patriots Spreads available now.
New York (2-2, 0-2 V) lost to Baltimore 17-34, on the road, in Week 4, for their second straight loss. QB Mark Sanchez went 11 for 35 for 119 yards, and the only score he produced until the fourth quarter was a field goal by Nick Folk after a 25-yard drive. The Ravens got 17 points off three fumbles by Sanchez. Mark Sanchez and Santonio Holmes have been unable to get on the same page on the field, and now the Jets teammates sound like they are at odds off of it. After the loss in Baltimore, Holmes did not hold back. "It starts up front with our big guys, they need to do a better job protecting Mark, and Mark has to do a better job making his reads and getting the ball to playmakers," Holmes said Sunday night. Sanchez said he did not take offense to the comment but that it was addressed. The Jets will have to alter their strategy this time or Brady, who admitted this summer that he'll "never get over that loss" in January, will likely pick them apart. "You can't just give Brady the same coverage over and over," Ryan said. "If he knows what coverage you're in, knows what front, knows what pressure, then he's going to carve you up. The chance you have is if there is some confusion there. You don't present an obvious picture to him. If you're just going to line up – I don't care how good your defense is – and run certain pressures, he's going to light you up."
New England (3-1, 1-0 H) beat the mistake-prone Oakland Raiders 31-19, on the road, in Week 4. QB Tom Brady bounced back from a four-interception performance by throwing for 226 yards, two touchdowns and committing no turnovers. Brady has to take on Rex Ryan’s Jets defense, who have the eighth best defense in the league, with the second best passing defense. Brady hasn’t always been able to solve Ryan’s exotic schemes. In the five games Brady has quarterbacked against the Ryan-coached Jets, he’s gone 2-3, throwing nine TDs and four interceptions while being sacked 11 times. He’s completed just 61 percent of his passes, with an 89.2 passer rating. During the most recent encounter with the Jets, the 28-21 playoff loss in January, the Jets took away Brady’s outside receivers and flooded the middle passing zones. They didn’t rush many up front, but still generated pressure. If there were open receivers, Brady had a hard time finding them. Get $50 in Free NFL Picks here.
The Patriots first ranked offense (507ypg) goes up against the Jets eighth ranked defense (310ypg). The Patriots first ranked pass game (384ypg) goes up against the Jets second ranked pass defense (180ypg). The Patriots ninth ranked running game (122ypg) goes up against the Jets 28th ranked rush defense (130ypg). The Jets 25th ranked offense (308ypg) goes up against the Pats 32nd ranked defense (477ypg). The Jets 16th ranked pass offense (237ypg) goes up against the Pats 32nd ranked pass defense (368ypg). The Jets 30th ranked ground game (71ypg) goes up against the Pats 18th ranked rush defense (108ypg).
Recent Trends to Consider:
Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in New England.
Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.
Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 5.
Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Patriots are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Jets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC East.
Jets are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games in October.
Jets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 5.
Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Road team is 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 meetings.
New York Jets vs New England Patriots
When: Sunday Oct 9th@4:15 PM ET
Pick: Patriots -9.5
Point-Spreads recommends you check the latest NFL Point Spreads before the Jets vs Patriots game starts.
The Bottom Line: I think the Pats will win outright, but the Jets will cover. Start the 2011 NFL season off right by getting your bet on the latest New York Jets vs New England Patriots Spreads available now.
