Week 5 of the 2013-14 NFL season has come and gone, and we now know one thing: Anybody can beat anybody else, anywhere. NFL fans will be buzzing all week looking forward to the games in Week 6. The biggest point spread in history has the Broncos hosting Jaguars as massive -28 point favorites, the 5-0 Chiefs host Raiders with great chance to start 6-0, Saints against Patriots in New England and RG III takes on Cowboys, in Dallas, after their BYE Week. Below are the most current Football Point Spreads and my Week 6 predictions for you to ponder before Week 6 kicks-off.
Thursday, October 10@8:25 PM ET
N.Y. Giants at Chicago (-9.5) (O/U-45.5) PREDICTION: Bears -9.5
Eli Manning isn’t to blame for all 12 interceptions, but his play is at its lowest point since he took over for Kurt Warner in his rookie season. Manning’s play has been exacerbated by struggles on the offensive line, fumbles by the running backs and a defense that’s struggled to do anything positive on a consistent basis. While Chicago has still forced turnovers at a rapid rate, their defensive line is not what it used to be because of injury and transition. This will be less a problem against New York, especially if Lance Briggs and his teammates can discombobulate Giants from the get-go.
Sunday, October 13@1:00 PM ET
Green Bay (-3) at Baltimore (O/U-48) PREDICTION: Packers -3
I don’t think the Ravens are that much better than the Lions, and even though they were without their best player on Sunday, the Packers are still a good team on both sides of the ball. They will miss Clay Matthews, and he may be one of the reasons this spread has shrunken, but I think they could still beat Baltimore on the road.
Philadelphia at Tampa Bay (OFF) (O/U-45.5) PREDICTION: Eagles
The Buccaneers haven’t been able to get out of their own way all year, and the Eagles have an offense despite their struggles. The Bucs have a rookie QB making his second start and should be able to move the chains against the Eagles secondary, but can he score as much as the Eagles, who will start Nick Foles.
Pittsburgh (-2.5) at N.Y. Jets (O/U-40) PREDICTION: Jets +2.5
The Jets were impressive on defense last night, and with the shaky offensive line of the Steelers coming in, it might be feeding time for the likes of Muhammad Wilkerson, Calvin Pace and the rest of that defense. If the Steelers give Big Ben time enough to get the ball down the field, this will be a good game, but if not, the Jets might come up with another big win, this time at home.
Carolina at Minnesota (-1) (O/U-43.5) PREDICTION: Vikings -1
Vikings will be ready to go at home coming off a bye week, while Panthers and their putrid offense will remain winless on the road. But, the gamble for the Vikings is whether newly signed QB Josh Freeman can be that player he once was, or, whether they can figure out why he hasn’t been.
Oakland at Kansas City (-9.5) (O/U-40.5) PREDICTION: Chiefs-9.5
Oakland is still a below average football team, but with Terrelle Pryor in the lineup, he gives the Raiders a chance for hope. As mentioned previously, Oakland is low on overall talent, but second-year head coach Dennis Allen has this team playing harder and much of last year’s apathy has been replaced by contagious effort. No doubt Kansas City has better players up and down the roster, but the Chiefs 25.6 scoring average is nearly four less than what their opponents have allowed to date.
St. Louis at Houston (-7) (O/U-43) PREDICTION: Texans -7
Texans can’t lose four in a row or fall at home to the lowly Rams.
Cincinnati (-7) at Buffalo (O/U-O/U-42) PREDICTION: Bengals -7
With the news that rookie, EJ Manuel will be out for the next several weeks with a sprained knee, the Bills have chosen to sign Thaddeus Lewis off of the practice squad and make him their starter this week. I don’t care if Brett Favre comes out of retirement and starts for the Bills this week, I don’t think I can lay nine points with Andy Dalton on the road anytime, or anywhere.
Detroit (-3) at Cleveland (O/U-45) PREDICTION: Lions -3
With Cleveland having to go back to Brandon Weeden at quarterback, this helps the Lions, as he is not the playmaker Brian Hoyer was and the Detroit pass rush has a more stationary figure they can reach.
Sunday, October 13@4:05 PM ET
Tennessee at Seattle (-13.5) (O/U-40.5) PREDICTION: Seahawks -13.5
The biggest thing the Seahawks need to improve on from last Sunday’s loss is the coverage by their secondary. Cornerback Richard Sherman and the rest of Seattle’s corners struggled in coverage for the first time in over a year. The Seahawks cornerbacks are among the most talented in the NFL, so there’s no reason to believe that they won’t bounce back this week against the Titans. It is highly improbable that a secondary with three Pro Bowlers and a first-team All-Pro will play that poorly twice.
Jacksonville at Denver (-27.5) (52.5) PREDICTION: Broncos -27.5
If Peyton Manning and the Broncos’ first stringers are not out of the game by the 6:00 mark in the 3rd quarter, I will be thoroughly surprised. The Jags have only 51 points scored though five games, with two pick-sixes for Blaine Gabbert on seven interceptions. The defense has given up 163 points and 4.9 yards per carry. At least there are only 11 games left.
Sunday, October 13@4:25 PM ET
New Orleans at New England (-1) (O/U-49.5) PIUCK: Saints +1
This game could mark the return of Rob Gronkowski for the Pats, which would help them a lot. With the pace Jimmy Graham is on, it would be nice to make this a two TE race. For the first time in a long time, both of these teams have pretty solid defenses too, which makes the game even more intriguing. The Pats’ offense looked atrocious last week against the Bengals, and the Saints have been rolling, and still are undefeated. If Gronk doesn’t end up playing, I think once again the Saints may be the bet here as slight underdogs.
Arizona at San Francisco (-11) (O/U-OFF) PREDICTION: 49ers -11
The Cardinals defense is gaining momentum, but the offense doesn’t pose much of a threat to the reigning NFC champions.
Sunday, October 13@8:30 PM ET
Washington at Dallas (-5) (O/U-53) PREDICTION: Cowboys -5
The Cowboys are clearly the best team in the dreadful NFC East and should find points easy to come by against the Redskins’ porous defense.
Monday, October 14@8:40 PM ET
Indianapolis at San Diego (O/U-50) PREDICTION: Colts
The Colts appear to be locked in at the moment, while the Chargers have been lacking focus from the start. Colts QB Andrew Luck in his career has won five straight games against the NFC, including beating the class of the conference, San Francisco and Seattle. Luck has guided the Colts to nine game-winning drives. That’s the most through a player’s first 21 games by any quarterback that started his career since the 1970 merger, according to the NFL. Luck is 15-6 as the starter, which the NFL says makes him the the fastest quarterback drafted first overall to reach 15 wins (a minimum of 21 starts). He’s winning against top competition.
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