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Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots Monday Night Football Pick

by Scott Burgess on Monday, October 20th, 2008

The Denver Broncos look to rebound from their Week 6 home loss to Jacksonville, while the New England Patriots hope home field will be advantageous for them.  The New England Patriots (3-2) host the Denver Broncos (4-2), for Week 7 Monday Night Football, at Gillette Stadium for some bone crushing NFL action. NFL oddsmakers at Sportsbook.com have the Patriots as -3 point home favs over the Broncos with the over/under posted at 48 ½ points. WHAT! The Broncos are 3-0 SU against the Patriots. Get your Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots Monday Night Football Pick in now at Sportsbook.com

The Patriots lost to the Chargers on the road 10-30 in Week 6. QB Matt Cassel made 22 of 38 passes for 203 yards with an interception; he has three touchdown passes for 910 yards and four interceptions in five starts. Their top rusher on the day was RB Kevin Faulk with eight carries for 48 yards, while RB Sammy Morris was the only Pat to run for a touchdown.  Their top receiver on the day was WR Wes Walker with nine catches for 73 yards. The Pats are averaging 17.8 ppg and they allow an average 21.8 ppg. At home they are 1-1 SU where they average 15 ppg and they give up an average 24 ppg. Their overall offense is ranked 25th averaging 298 yards a game, no thanks to their 24th ranked passing game averages 186 yards per-game. They have a running game that averages a 17th ranked 111 yards a game. FB Sammy Morris leads the Pats with three touchdowns. They’re average on defense with a 14th ranked total defense that allows 320 yards a game, thanks to their 15th ranked pass defense that allows a 201 yards per-game. They are ranked 20th at stopping the rush allowing an average 119 yards a game. The Pats are 2-3 ATS and 2-3 over/under.

Questionable Injuries for New England tonight: RB Lamont Jordan, WR Kelley Washington, LB Eric Alexander, RB Laurence Maroney T Nick Kaczur, DE Jarvis Green and T Matt Light.

The Broncos got beat by the Jags at home 17-24 in Week 6. QB Jay Cutler made 21 of 37 passes for 192 yards with two touchdown passes and an interception; he has 12 touchdown passes for 1,693 yards and five interceptions in six starts. Their top rusher on the day was RB Michael Pittman with 20 carries for 109 yards and three catches for 16 yards. Their top receiver on the day was WR Brandon Stockley with nine catches for 98 yards and one touchdown, while WR Daniel Graham chipped in with a touchdown. The Broncos are averaging 27.7 ppg and they allow an average 25.7 ppg. On the road they are 1-1 SU where they average 30 ppg and they give up an average 23.5 ppg. Their overall offense is ranked 2nd averaging 399 yards a game, thanks to their 2nd ranked passing game averages 279 yards per-game. They have a running game that averages a 11th ranked 120 yards a game. RB Michael Pittman leads the Broncos with four touchdowns. They’re awful on defense with a 30th ranked total defense that allows 394 yards a game, no thanks to their 32nd ranked pass defense that allows a 257 yards per-game. They are ranked 25th at stopping the rush allowing an average 137 yards a game. The Broncos are 1-4-1 ATS and 4-2 over/under.

Questionable Injuries for Denver tonight: WR Eddie Royal, DE Ebenezer Ekuban, RB Selvin Young, TE Tony Scheffler, DT Josh Shaw and WR Brandon Stockley.

Recent Trends to Consider:

  • Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New England.
  • Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New England.
  • Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots Monday Night Football Pick
When: Mon, Oct 20, 2008 8:15 PM ET
Line: Sportsbook.com
Pick: Broncos +3

Point-Spreads.com Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots Monday Night Football Pick – Broncos +3

The Bottom Line:
I don’t know what NFL oddsmakers were thinking about when they had the Pats as favorites. They have no offense to counter with against the second best offense in the league. I don’t care how bad the Broncos defense is. Go Broncos! Get your Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots Monday Night Football Pick in now at Sportsbook.com and receive a 10% sign-up bonus on your initial deposit!

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