The Indianapolis Colts come to Jacksonville to play the Jaguars for Monday Night Football, attempting to remain unbeaten and keep pace with the torrid New England Patriots. On Sunday, New England put up 42 points in the first half of their game to cruise to a 21 point road victory. The Colts would very much like to win to stay in the conversation with the Pats for best team in the NFL.
A convincing road win vs. the 4-1 Jaguars would go a long way towards achieving that goal. But, it won't be easy. Last season Jacksonville was 6-2 at home, outscoring opponents 212-88 and beating the Colts at Alltel Stadium 44-17. The Colts would like to avenge that loss and look to their improved defense to keep the Jags down.
Jacksonville has racked up a lot of yards this season (355 per game) but it hasn't translated to a lot of points (20 ppg). The formula for Jacksonville has been to run, keep David Garrard from making mistakes (6 TD, 0 INT) and rely on their defense.
Indianapolis' formula of outscore the opponent, hasn't changed from last year when they won the Super Bowl. Indy has the third-ranked offense in the NFL (403 yards and 32.8 points per game). The Colts are a perfect 6-0 ATS dating back to last year vs. teams that are 75 percent+ straight up. They are also 15-6 ATS the past three seasons when they are riding a 3+ game winning streak. But, the Jags are 4-1 in the last five at home vs. the Colts as they seem to have Indy's number. Will last year's 44-17 result give Jacksonville the confidence to win this game or will the chance at revenge motivate the Colts to win on the road?
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