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ESPN Monday Night Football Odds Week 10

by Scott Burgess on Monday, November 11th, 2013

The Miami Dolphins face the Buccaneers in Tampa Bay for Monday Night Football to wrap up Week 10. Miami hasn’t won in Tampa Bay since October 1988 and Miami is 1-3 SU against the Buccaneers since 1997, and 0-4 ATS when playing Tampa Bay in that span. The Dolphins sit third in the AFC East, one game back from the NY Jets, and aren’t likely to catch leading New England. The Bucs are winless this season, but put on their best offensive showing last week scoring 21 points in Seattle and still lost. Here are the ESPN Monday Night Football Odds for Week 9. NFL oddsmakers have the hometown Buccaneers as +1 point homedogs against the Dolphins with the total set at 40.5 points. Be sure to get your Dolphins vs Buccaneers Prediction in early ahead of MNF kick-off.

bucs-qb-mike-glennonThe Dolphins (4-4, 2-2 V) most pressing on-field question is how to overcome the loss of 40 percent of an offensive line that has already allowed QB Ryan Tannehill to be a sacked a league-high 35 times. The Dolphins may have salvaged their season by rallying to beat Cincinnati after blowing a 14-point second-half lead for the second consecutive week. RB Lamar Miller is coming off his first 100-yard day for Miami, which is averaging 156.5 yards rushing in the past two games.

Lamar Miller continues to flash when given opportunities, and the Dolphins gave him 18 carries in Week 8 and 16 carries in Week 9. Tampa Bay is average against the run, making Miller a go to guy. Daniel Thomas still saw 12 carries in Week 9, so he’s a desperation play for anyone hoping for one or two shots at the goal line.

Mike Wallace has been feast-or-famine for most of the season. He faces Darrelle Revis who has improved lately, but can still give up big plays, which Wallace is very capable of. If it weren’t for his ability to break out for a big play.

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The Bucs (0-8, 0-4 H) are dealing with another gut-wrenching loss, blowing a 21-point lead in Seattle last week losing 24-27 in overtime. Rookie Mike James has been a capable replacement for Doug Martin, running for a career-high 158 yards in last week’s loss while rookie QB Mike Glennon has thrown five touchdown passes and zero interceptions over his past three games.

Rookie QB Mike Glennon is in charge of the Tampa Bay offense. It’s not all bad news, as he’s shown some definite signs that could give the team and fans hope for the future. But he’s without Mike Williams in the passing game, which hurts.

The Dolphins lead in three key areas over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Total yards per game (315.2 vs. 304.2), passing yards per game (217.6 vs. 197.8) and points per game (21.8 vs. 15.5). The Buccaneers rank 31st in scoring (15.5 points) and total offense (304.3 yards) per game.

Recent Trends to Consider and NFL Points Spreads:
Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Over is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 games overall.
Over is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
Buccaneers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Monday games.
Dolphins are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Buccaneers are 0-4-2 ATS in their last 6 Monday games.

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
When: Monday Nov 11@8:30 PM ET
Pick: Bucs +2

The Bottom Line: The Bucs put up big points in Seattle and they allowed Seattle’s offense to put up big points on them. The Dolphins don’t have the offense like Seattle. Playing at home on MNF will give the Bucs a reason to win. We recommend you signup with SportsBettingOnline to receive a 10% signup bonus heading into the Dolphins vs Buccaneers game.

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