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NFL Week 11 Picks 2012

by Scott Burgess on Friday, November 16th, 2012

Week 10 of the 2012 NFL season had the Atlanta Falcons get beat by the New Orleans Saints wrecking their perfect season. Before we dive into Week 11 let’s check out other top stories: Giants’ struggles continue with loss to Bengals, Peyton Manning and the Broncos’ defense shine in win, Ravens humiliate Raiders with 50 point game, missed field goals lead to tie in Rams-49ers, Vick injured as Eagles fall to Cowboys, Seahawks down Jets to stay perfect at home, Saints spoil Falcons chance at 16-0 season and Patriots hold on for close home win over Bills. The top game in Week 11 features the Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers. Let’s preview the Bears at Niners as I make my expert NFL Week 11 Picks.  We recommend you check out the latest NFL Point Spreads heading into Week 11 of the 2012 NFL season.

Teams with Byes: Titans, Giants, Vikings, Seahawks

Monday, November 19, 2012@8:30 PM ET
Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers (-4) (o/u-39)

The Niners (6-2-1, 3-1 H) played to a 24-24 tie against the St.Louis Rams — the NFL’s first tie game in four years — as both team’s kickers missed overtime field goals Sunday. The Niners lost quarterback Alex Smith to a first-half concussion. Backup Colin Kaepernick completed 11 of 17 passes for 117 yards with one rushing touchdown, while RB Frank Gore ran one in. WR Michael Crabtree added a touchdown as well.

The Bears (7-2, 3-1 V) suffered a 6-13 loss to the Houston Texans at home. In a showdown between two of the NFL’s best teams, the Texans beat the Bears at their own game. They came away with four takeaways and Tim Dobbins delivered the biggest blow when he drove his helmet into Jay Cutler late in the second quarter causing a concussion.

Bears Coach Lovie Smith reportedly is hopeful that Cutler will be back next week, but again, Cutler has to go through the same concussion protocol as Alex Smith. Niners Coach Jim Harbaugh said Smith is going through the league protocol for returning to the field. This will require Smith pass at least a pair of neurological tests, which include being asymptomatic at rest and after exertion. This is Smith’s second concussion in the last two seasons. Both teams do not have to issue injury reports until Thursday, so it will likely be a couple days before we hear more about either QB’s status for next Monday.

Trends to Consider:
Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Get the hottest selections from the Point-Spreads.com brain trust on our NFL Picks Week 11 page now for free.

Thursday, November 15, 2012@8:20 PM ET
Miami Dolphins (+1) at Buffalo Bills (o/u-45.5)

Sunday, November 18, 2012@1:00 PM ET
Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins
Green Bay Packers (-3.5) at Detroit Lions (o/u-51.5)
Arizona Cardinals at Atlanta Falcons (-10) (o/u-45)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1) at Carolina Panthers (o/u-48)
Cleveland Browns at Dallas Cowboys (-8) (o/u-43.5)
N.Y. Jets at St. Louis Rams (-3) (o/u-38)
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans (-16) (o/u-42.5)
Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5) at Kansas City Chiefs (o/u-44)

Sunday, November 18, 2012@4:05 PM ET
New Orleans Saints (-4.5) at Oakland Raiders (o/u-54.5)

Sunday, November 18, 2012@4:25 PM ET
San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos (-7.5) (o/u-49.5)
Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots (-9.5) (o/u-53)

Sunday, November 18, 2012@8:20 PM ET
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5) (o/u-46)

Monday, November 19, 2012@8:30 PM ET
Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers (-4) (o/u-39)

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