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Miami Dolphins vs Carolina Panthers NFL Week 11 Picks

by Scott Burgess on Tuesday, November 17th, 2009

The Carolina Panthers host the Miami Dolphins, Thursday Nov 19, as both teams deal with injuries to their running game. Miami is 4-1 SU against the Panthers overall. NFL oddsmakers at Sportsbetting.com have the Panthers as -3 point home favs over the Dolphins with the over/under set at 43.5 points. Be sure to get your Miami Dolphins vs Carolina Panthers NFL Week 11 Picks in now at Sportsbetting.com

The Dolphins (4-5) beat Tampa Bay 25-23 at home in Week 10 and now sit second in the AFC East. QB Chad Henne made 17 of 31 passes for 175 yards with a TD pass and an interception; overall he’s thrown for 1,165 yards with five TD passes and four interceptions for a 76.3 passer rating. RB Ricky Williams had 20 carries for 102 yards, while RB Ronnie Brown had 12 carries for 82 yards with a TD. WR Davone Bess made four catches for 72 yards, while WR Kory Spery made three catches for 31 yards with a TD. The Dolphins O-line did well to protect QB Henne, who was not sacked, while their defense had three sacks.  RB Ronnie Brown, the Dolphins' leading rusher and wildcat triggerman, is listed as doubtful for Thursday due to an ankle injury . Miami's third-string running back is 2008 sixth-round draft pick Lex Hilliard, who has yet to carry the ball in the NFL, might get some play time. Miami’s running game is currently fourth best in the league and they’ll go up against the Panthers 25th ranked rush defense. The Dolphins aren’t big at airing out the ball, which is a good thing going against the Panthers fourth ranked pass defense. The Dolphins average 24.2ppg and give up 25.2ppg, while they are 1-3 SU on the road where they average 16.8ppg and allow 23.5ppg. They are 4-5 ATS and 4-5 over/under.

The Panthers (4-5) beat Atlanta 28-19 at home in Week 10 and still sit third in the NFC South. QB Jake Delhomme made 15 of 24 passes for 195 yards with two TD passes; overall he’s thrown for 1,658 yards with seven TD passes and 13 interceptions for a 67 passer rating. RB DeAngelo Williams had 19 carries for 92 yards, while RB Jonathan Stewart had 11 carries for 82 yards with two TD’s. WR Muhsin Muhammad made six catches for 91 yards, while WR Steve Smith made four catches for 34 yards with two TD’s. The Panthers will pit their third ranked running game against the Dolphins seventh ranked rush defense, but the Panthers may be without RB Jonathan Stewart due to an achilles heel injury . RB DeAngelo Williams leads the Panthers on the ground with 860 yards rushing with seven TD’s. The Panthers average 19.6ppg and give up 223.9ppg, while they are 2-2 SU at home where they average 16.8ppg and allow 23.5ppg. They are 4-5 ATS and 5-4 over/under.

Recent Trends to Consider:

  • Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.    
  • Dolphins are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
  • Dolphins are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog.
  • Dolphins are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games.
  • Panthers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
  • Panthers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.
  • Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games as a home favorite.

Miami Dolphins vs Carolina Panthers
When:  Thurs, Nov 19, 2009 8:20 PM ET      
Line: Sportsbetting.com
Pick: Panthers -3

Point-Spreads.com Miami Dolphins vs Carolina Panthers NFL Week 11 Picks

The Bottom Line: Got to go with home team against a struggling Dolphins road game. Be sure to get your Miami Dolphins vs Carolina Panthers NFL Week 11 Picks in now at Sportsbetting.com  and Cash in with sign-up bonuses, weekly reload bonuses and free payouts at SPORTSBETTING.com, where betting is safe, secure and easy.

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