NFL Week 12 Predictions on the Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons Betting Odds: The red hot Atlanta Falcons host the equally hot Green Bay Packers, Sunday Nov 28, as both teams fight for a fifth straight victory. The Falcons won their last meeting 27-24, on the road, in 2008. NFL oddsmakers at BODOG.com have the Falcons as -1.5 point home favorites over the Packers while the game's total has been posted at 47.5 points. Be sure to get the latest NFL Point Spreads for your NFL Week 12 Predictions on the Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons Betting Odds.
The Packers (7-3) (3-2 V) won big in Minnesota 31-3, in Week 11 and now sit tied atop the NFC North, with Chicago. QB Aaron Rodgers completed 22 of 31 passes for 301 yards with four TD’s. RB Dimitri Nance had 12 carries for 37 yards, while WR Greg Jennings made seven catches for 152 yards with three TD’s. WR James Jones made three catches for 51 yards with a TD. The Packers defense only got one sack and one interception. They've been great at avoiding penalties over the past few games. They've done a very good job at limiting mental penalties (false starts) and emotional ones (personal fouls). The Packers' offense looked increasingly explosive in a 374-yard effort against the Vikings highlighted by WR Greg Jennings' three TD catches. Jennings has been exceptional the past five games, running picture-perfect routes and stretching the field with beautiful downfield catches. "It's really nothing out of the norm for him," Packers head coach Mike McCarthy said of Jennings. “We are putting him in different positions, both outside and inside, moving him around and being cognizant of the matchups, taking what the defenses are giving us." The defense, meanwhile, made life miserable for Brett Favre all afternoon and has now allowed only 10 points in the last 13 quarters on its way to the NFL top spot in points allowed. The Packers offense is ranked 13th overall (347ypg) with an 11th ranked pass game (247ypg) and a 19th ranked running game (100ypg). They score the eighth most amount of points per-game (25.2ppg). Greg Jennings leads the Packers offense with nine TD’s. The Packers face the Falcons 17th ranked defense (339ypg), their 24th ranked pass rush (244ypg) and their sixth ranked rush defense (95ypg). The Falcons defense allows the seventh least amount of points per-game (19.2ppg).
The Falcons (8-2) (5-0 H) won in St.Louis 34-17, in Week 11 and still sit atop the NFC South. QB Matt Ryan made 26 of 39 passes for 253 yards with two TD’s and no interceptions. RB Michael Turner had 28 carries for 131 yards with a TD, while WR Roddy White made nine catches for 83 yards. TE Justin Peelle and WR Brian Finneran were their lone receivers to add TD’s. The Falcons normally use the no-huddle just as a change of pace and it's usually a slower check-with-me no-huddle. The Falcons, who own the best record in the NFC, likely have to come up with a new plan to slow down the Packers. Their 15 sacks allowed are tied for the fifth-fewest in the league. While they didn't give up a sack, they had to settle for three short field goals. Against the Packers, they'll have to turn those field goals into touchdowns. QB Ryan has been extremely careful with the ball. He has not thrown an interception in three games and his touchdown-to-interception ratio for the season is 18 to 5. "That's kind of a recipe for success," Ryan said. "You create turnovers and protect the football. Then you become difficult to beat." The Falcons are ranked sixth on offense (371ypg) with a 13th ranked pass game (242ypg) and the seventh best ranked running game (129ypg). RB Roddy White leads their offense with seven TD’s. The Falcons score the sixth most points per-game (25.6ppg). The Falcons battle the Packers 12th ranked defense (323ypg), their 11th ranked pass rush (211ypg) and their 18th ranked rush defense (112ypg). The Packers give up the second least amount of points per-game (14.6ppg).
Recent Trends to Consider:
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Packers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Packers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf.
- Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
- Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons
When: Sun, Nov 28, 1:00 PM ET
Line: BODOG.com
Pick: Packers +1.5
Point-Spreads.com recommends you get your NFL Picks Week 12 in early!
The Bottom Line: The Packers are just as good on offense, but are better on defense. Be sure to get your NFL Week 12 Predictions: Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons Betting Odds in now at BODOG.com
