NFL Predictions Week 12: There are three games on today’s Thanksgiving schedule, all with playoff implications in the NFC and AFC. The early game today will be a great one, as two old division rivals in the (9-0) Green Bay Packers [-7] and the NFL Point Spreads underdog (7-3) Detroit Lions [+7] will square off at 12:30 PM ET on FOX. It’s hard to believe that just three games separate these teams in the standings in spite of the Packers perfect start.
What do the Lions need to do to win this game? The good thing about this game if you like the underdog is that where Detroit lacks defensively, so does Green Bay and vice versa. For example: the Lions possess one of the best passing games in the league — ranked 8th: 272.4 — while the Packers’ defense ranks 31st against it.
So the Packers have one of the best passing attacks in the entire NFL (ranked 3rd)? Well, the Lions D has been great against the pass, currently ranked 5th in the league. Another key stat is the running game.
This would be an area where Mike McCarthy could capitalize, considering the Lions are 27th in the league at stopping the run. However, as great as Green Bay has been through the air, they’ve been mediocre on the ground, ranked 21st in the league in rushing… so no advantage there. So you see, Detroit has a real chance at winning this game, also taking into consideration this would be the Packers third game in 11 days… I like Detroit at +7!
Here’s how I see the rest of the Thanksgiving Day games going:
Miami Dolphins [+7] vs Dallas Cowboys
San Francisco 49ers vs Baltimore Ravens [-3]
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Green Bay’s ATS Trends:
Packers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Packers are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Packers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. win.
Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games.
Packers are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Packers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite.
Packers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games in November.
Packers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC.
Packers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Packers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Packers are 27-11-1 ATS in their last 39 games overall.
Packers are 35-15-2 ATS in their last 52 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Detroit’s ATS Trends:
Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Lions are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. win.
Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Lions are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Lions are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC North.
Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Lions are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS win.




