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Kansas City Chiefs vs San Diego Chargers NFL Week 12 Picks PDF Print E-mail
Written by Scott Burgess
Wednesday, 25 November 2009
The San Diego Chargers host the Kansas City Chiefs, Sunday Nov 29, as the Chiefs look for back to back upsets. San Diego has won four in a row over Kansas City. NFL oddsmakers at Sportsbook.com have the Chargers as -13.5 point home favs over the Chiefs with the over/under set at 44.5 points . Be sure to get your Kansas City Chiefs vs San Diego Chargers NFL Week 12 Picks in now at Sportsbook.com  

The Chiefs (3-7) beat Pittsburgh 27-24 (OT) at home in Week 11 and sit third in the AFC West. QB Matt Cassel made 15 of 30 passes for 248 yards with two TD’s; overall he’s thrown for 1,740 yards with 12 TD’s and six interceptions for a 77.9 passer rating. RB Jamaal Charles had 17 carries for 58 yards and two catches for eight yards with a TD. WR Chris Chambers made four catches for 119 yards and WR Leonard Pope had a 21 yard catch for a TD. Their defense had three sacks and pulled down an interception. Despite Kansas City's recent struggles, the Chiefs were only outscored by the Chargers, 82-80, from 2007-08. They beat a strong defense in Pittsburgh, won in Oakland and Washington and held Dallas until overtime. They play their best against top tier teams. The Chargers waived WR Chris Chambers during their Week 8 bye, and the Chiefs immediately claimed him. Since coming to Kansas City, WR Chris Chambers has paid immediate dividends , with 10 catches for 249 yards and two TD’s in three games. He figures to be even more fired up this week to show San Diego it was wrong for getting rid of him. Jamaal Charles, whose 97-yard return of the opening kickoff helped propel Kansas City to a victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers, was named AFC special teams player of the week Wednesday. You can expect him to be pumped this week. The Chiefs best chance at moving the chains will be to use their 26th ranked running game against the Chargers 19th ranked rush defense. The Chiefs have averaged 21.3ppg and allowed 19.3ppg in their last three games. They are 2-3 SU on the road where they average 17.8ppg and allow 22.4ppg. They are 5-5 ATS and 5-3 over/under.

The Chargers (7-3) won in Denver 32-3 in Week 11 and now sit atop the AFC West. QB Phillip Rivers made 17 of 22 passes for 145 yards with one TD; overall he’s thrown for 2,621 yards with 17 TD’s and six interceptions for a 98.7 passer rating. RB LaDainian Tomlinson had 20 carries for 73 yards with a TD, while RB Michael Tolbert had seven carries for 58 yards with a TD. WR Vincent Jackson made four catches for 56 yards and WR Legedu Naanee added a TD. RB LaDainian Tomlinson has come back to life . He has rushed for 169 yards and three TD’s the past two weeks, and now gets to face a Chiefs defense that ranks 27th against the run. The Chargers will also use their 11th ranked pass game against the Chiefs 28th ranked pass defense. They put up the fifth most points per-game (26.9) and allow the 15th most (20.5). Their defense is rankled 10th against the pass and CB Antonio Cromartie leads his team with three interceptions.  The Chargers have averaged 28ppg and allowed 15.3ppg in their last three games. They are 3-2 SU at home where they average 25.4ppg and allow 23.4ppg. They are 5-5 ATS and 5-4 over/under.

Recent Trends to Consider:
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Diego.
  • Underdog is 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 meetings.
  • Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
  • Chiefs are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
  • Chiefs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
  • Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
  • Chargers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.

Kansas City Chiefs vs San Diego Chargers
When:  Sun, Nov 29, 2009 4:05 PM ET      
Line: Sportsbook.com
Pick:  Chiefs +13.5

Point-Spreads.com Kansas City Chiefs vs San Diego Chargers NFL Week 12 Picks

The Bottom Line: The Chiefs are better in their last three games and do better on the road. Be sure to get your Kansas City Chiefs vs San Diego Chargers NFL Week 12 Picks in now at Sportsbook.com and Get a 50% Deposit Bonus and $25 Free Bet at Sportsbook.com, simply use promo code WIN100 and start winning today!




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