| Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills NFL Week 12 Picks |
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| Written by Scott Burgess | |||||||
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Wednesday, 25 November 2009
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The Buffalo Bills host the Miami Dolphins, Sunday Nov 29, as the Dolphins look for three straight wins and the Bills hope to snap a three game skid. Miami has won three in a row over the Bills, but Buffalo has won four of its past five against Miami in the month of November. NFL oddsmakers at Sportsbetting.com have the Dolphins as -3 point road favs over the Bills with the over/under set at 40 points . Be sure to get your Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills NFL Week 12 Picks in now at Sportsbetting.com  The Dolphins (5-5) won in Carolina 24-17 in Week 11 and now sit second in the AFC East. QB Chad Henne made19 of 29 passes for 172 yards with one TD; overall he’s thrown for 1,337 yards with six TD’s and four interceptions for a 77.7 passer rating. RB Ricky Williams had 22 carries for 119 yards with two TD’s and he made two catches for 19 yards with a TD. WR Davone Bess made six catches for 63 yards. Miami will probably use a similar blueprint, as Week 4, heavy on the running game this time around against Buffalo , but if QB Henne has to air it out, he must be wary of a Bills defense that leads the AFC with 17interceptions. Safety Jairus Byrd leads his team with eight interceptions. When WLB Joey Porter collects at least one full sack in a game, the Dolphins seem to get energized defensively and play better. In the three games in which Porter has a sack this year, the Dolphins have allowed just 22ppg, but in the five games he has started and failed to record a full sack, the Dolphins are allowing 29ppg. Their leading sacker is Jason Taylor with five. RB Ricky Williams leads their fourth ranked running game with 677 yards rushing and 10 TD’s. Their defense is good against the rush but struggle with a 23rd ranked pass defense. Under Coach Tony Sparano, the Dolphins are 4-1 SU on the road against divisional opponents. Jason Taylor has more sacks against Buffalo than any other team in the league (19.5). The Dolphins have averaged 23ppg and allowed 22.3ppg in their last three games. They are 2-3 SU on the road where they average 18.2ppg and allow 22.2ppg. They are 5-5 ATS and 6-4 over/under.The Bills (3-7) lost at Jacksonville 15-18 in Week 11 and still sit last in the AFC East. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick made 18 of 31 passes for 297 yards with a TD and two interceptions; overall he’s thrown for 659 yards with three TD’s and six interceptions for a 56.8 passer rating. RB Fred Jackson had nine carries for 35 yards, while WR Terrell Owens made nine catches for a high 197 yards with a TD. The Bills went 0-3 in the red zone and 0-2 from goal to go. After struggling through the first eight weeks, WR Owens appears to have found his stride in the past two weeks. He has 282 receiving yards with a TD. He’ll be up against a Dolphins defense that is ranked 23rd against the pass. CB Will Allen leads the Dolphins with two interceptions. The Bills are going to be in for a long day if they can’t slow down the Dolphins running game, the Bills are ranked 31st against the rush . The Dolphins don’t air out the ball so the Bills 11th ranked pass defense won’t be doing too much. Buffalo has won four of its past five against Miami in the month of November. The Bills have averaged 14ppg and allowed 30ppg in their last three games. They are 1-3 SU at home where they average 13.2ppg and allow 21ppg. They are 5-5 ATS and 4-6 over/under. Recent Trends to Consider:
Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills When: Sun, Nov 29, 2009 1:00 PM ET Line: Sportsbetting.com Pick: Dolphins -3 Point-Spreads.com Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills NFL Week 12 Picks The Bottom Line: It’s the Dolphins running the ball all day long. Be sure to get your Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills NFL Week 12 Picks in now at Sportsbetting.com and Cash in with sign-up bonuses, weekly reload bonuses and free payouts at SPORTSBETTING.com, where betting is safe, secure and easy.                        |
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