Week 13 of the NFL gives us a dandy of a game early this week as the Green Bay Packers visit the Dallas Cowboys in an NFL Pick on Thursday Night that could go a long way to identifying who will have home field advantage throughout the NFC Playoffs. Last week the Green Bay beat up on the Detroit Lions 37-26 improving their season mark to 10-1 SU and matched their best 11-game record since 1929. The win also game them a four-game lead with five games left in the regular season in the NFC North. Green Bay QB, Brett Favre continued to defy the odds as he set a Green Bay record with 20 consecutive completions. Favre ended the day completing 31 of 41 passes for a season high 381 yards and three touchdowns. It was Favre's seventh 300-yard game of the season that also matched a team mark he set in 1995. The Packers also have seemed to have found a running game as RB Ryan Grant rushed for 101 yards on 15 attempts. It appears that the public still doesn’t believe in Green Bay although they have won 14 of 15 SU dating back to last season as Bodog.com has them listed as a +6.5 underdog.
It’s hard to believe, but for the first time in franchise history the Dallas Cowboys are 10-1 after 11 games. That mark came as a result of an easy 34-2 victory over the hapless New York Jets. If there was any doubt that the Cowboys would look ahead to this game, it was quickly dispelled as Tony Romo drove the Cowboys for a score on their first possession of the game. QB Romo ended the game completing an impressive 21 of 28 passes for 195 yards, two touchdowns and an interception. Romo’s two favorite receivers, Owens and Whitten, combined for 119 of the total passing yards. The Dallas rushing attack continued to be effective as the combination of Jones and Barber ran for 167 yards on 32 carriers. The Dallas defense that has been allowing only 82 yards per game on the ground did it’s usual effective job allowing the Jets to total only 60 total rushing yards.
The Cowboys have the offensive reputation as they are the second highest scoring offense in the NFL but the fact is that Green Bay averaging nearly eight more yards per game than the Cowboys with 388 yards, although the Cowboys have scored 62 more points. With all this offense it might be prudent to take a look at the over since it is 9-1 ATS the last 10 times these two teams have met.
Handicapping this contest keep in mind that the Packers have been very profitable on the road going 10-3 SU & ATS this L13. They are also 6-0 SU & ATS as an underdog in ’07. But, before jumping on the Green Bay bandwagon keep in mind that they have never won in Dallas with QB Brett Favre, going 0-8 SU & 1-7 ATS.
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