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San Diego Chargers vs Atlanta Falcons NFL Week 13 Picks

by Scott Burgess on Friday, November 28th, 2008

The San Diego Chargers lost their second game in a row and their fourth loss in the last 23 seconds of the game, while the Atlanta Falcons have won three of their last four games by a landslide. The San Diego Chargers (4-7) play host to the Atlanta Falcons (7-4), Sunday Nov 30, at Qualcomm Stadium for some hard hitting NFL Week 13 action. NFL oddsmakers at Sportsbook.com have the Chargers as -4 ½ point home favs over the Falcons with the over/under set at 49 points. Get your San Diego Chargers vs Atlanta Falcons NFL Week 13 Picks in now at Sportsbook.com

The Chargers lost to the Colts 20-23 at home in Week 12. QB Phillip Rivers made 24 of 31 passes for 288 yards with two touchdowns; he has 23 touchdown passes for 2,801 yards and 10 interceptions in 11 starts. Their top rusher on the day was RB LaDainian Tomlinson with 21 carries for 84 yards. Their top receiver on the day was WR Chris Chambers with six catches for 61 yards, while WR Vincent Jackson and RB Jacob Hester each added a touchdown. The Chargers are averaging 24.9 ppg and they give up an average 22.9 ppg. At home they are 3-2 SU where they average 28.4 ppg and they give up an average 21.4 ppg. Their overall offense is ranked 13th in the league averaging 341 yards a game thanks to their 7th ranked passing game that averages 245 yards per-game, but their 25th ranked running game averages just 95 yards a game.  TE Antonio Gates leads the Chargers with six touchdowns. Their overall defense is ranked 26th in the league allowing an average 369 yards a game, no thanks to their 32nd ranked pass defense that allows a high 265 yards per-game and their 15th ranked rush defense gives up an average 103 yards a game. The Chargers are 4-6-1 ATS and 5-6 over/under.

The Falcons beat the Panthers 45-28 at home in Week 12. QB Matt Ryan made 17 of 27 passes for 259 yards with no touchdown passes and no interception; he has 11 touchdown passes for 2,418 yards with six interceptions in 11 starts. Their top rusher on the day was RB Michael Turner with 27 carries for 117 yards with four touchdowns, while WR Harry Douglas added a touchdown. Their top receiver on the day was WR Harry Douglas with four catches for 92 yards. The Falcons are averaging 25.1 ppg and they give up an average 20.5 ppg. On the road they are 2-3 SU where they average 16.6 ppg and they give up an average 19.8 ppg. Their overall offense is ranked 6th best in the league averaging 363 yards a game, thanks to their 14th ranked passing game that’s good for 212 yards per-game. Their running game sits the second best in the league averaging 151 yards a game.  RB Michael Turner leads the Falcons with 13 touchdowns. Their overall defense is ranked 24th in the league allowing 350 yards per-game, no thanks to their 21st ranked rush defense that allows 119 yards a game, they are just as bad against the pass with a 23rd ranked pass defense that gives up an average 230 yards per-game. The Falcons are 7-4 ATS and 5-6 over/under.

Recent Trends to Consider:

  • Chargers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Chargers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Falcons are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games on grass.
  • Falcons are 13-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 6-1 in Chargers last 7 games overall.

San Diego Chargers vs Atlanta Falcons NFL Week 13 Picks
When: Sun, Nov 30, 2008 4:05 PM ET
Line: Sportsbook.com
Pick:  Falcons +4 ½

Point-Spreads.com San Diego Chargers vs Atlanta Falcons NFL Week 13 Picks- Falcons +4 ½

The Bottom Line: The Chargers have lost four games in the final 23 seconds of the game and I can’t see them beating the Falcons and their impressive offense. Go Falcons! Get your San Diego Chargers vs Atlanta Falcons NFL Week 13 Picks in now at Sportsbook.com and receive a 10% sign-up bonus on your initial deposit!

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