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New England Patriots vs Houston Texans NFL Week 17 Picks

by Scott Burgess on Tuesday, December 29th, 2009

The Houston Texans host the New England Patriots, Sunday Jan 3, as the Texans hope to keep their playoff hopes alive. These two have played twice with the Patriots winning both. NFL oddsmakers at SPORTSBETTING.com have the Texans as -9 point home favs over the Patriots with the over/under set at 46 points . Be sure to get your New England Patriots vs Houston Texans NFL Week 17 Picks in now at SPORTSBETTING.com
 
The Patriots (10-5) beat Jacksonville 35-7 at home in Week 16 and have clinched the AFC East. QB Tom Brady made 23 of 26 passes for 267 yards with four TD’s; overall he’s thrown for 4,212 yards with 28 TD’s and 12 interceptions for a 97.4 passer rating. RB Laurence Maroney had 12 carries for 95 yards with a TD, while WR Wes Welker made 13 catches for 138 yards. WR Randy Moss made four catches for 45 yards with three TD’s and WR Chris Baker made a 26 yard TD catch. The Pats are getting it done on offense and defense since their week 13 loss to Miami. In their last three wins they’ve averaged 24ppg and allowed a low 9ppg. The Patriots put their second ranked offense against the Texans 14th ranked defense. Their main source of offense is their fourth ranked pass game, led by WR Wes Welker’s 1,336 yards receiving and four TD’s, that’ll be up against the Texans 16th ranked pass defense. WR Randy Moss leads with 13 TD’s and has four in two games. The Texans LB Brian Cushing leads his team with four interceptions and Tom Brady has thrown six in five games.  The Pats put up the seventh most points per-game (26.7ppg) and allow the fourth least amount (16.7ppg).  The Patriots have averaged 24ppg and allowed 9ppg in their last three games. They are 2-5 SU on the road where they average 21.4ppg and give up an average 21.1ppg.They are 7-7-1 ATS and 4-10 over/under.

The Texans (8-7) won in Miami 27-20 in Week 16 and are still alive in the AFC Wild Card race. QB Matt Schaub made v20 of 31 passes for 286 yards with two TD’s and an interception; overall he’s thrown for 4,467 yards with 27 TD’s and 14 interceptions for a 99.1 passer rating. RB Arian Foster had 19 carries for 97 yards with a TD, while WR Jacoby Jones made two catches for 79 yards with a TD. WR Andre Johnson made five catches for 71 yards with a TD. The Texans fifth ranked offense will go head to head with the Patriots eighth ranked defense. The Texans have the second best pass game in the league and they’ll have their work cut out for them against the Pats eighth ranked pass defense , that has the Pats CB Leigh Bodden with five interceptions, but none in five games. WR Andre Johnson leads his team with nine TD’s and has four in four games. The Texans are the second worst team at running the ball, so the Pats 11th ranked rush defense won’t be working overtime. The Texans have averaged 25.7ppg and allowed 13.3ppg in their last three games. They are 3-4 SU at home where they average 23.1ppg and allow 20.6ppg. They are 7-7-1 ATS and 4-10 over/under.

Recent Trends to Consider:  

  • Patriots are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 17.
  • Patriots are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
  • Patriots are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Texans are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
  • Texans are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
  • Under is 5-0 in Texans last 5 games as a favorite.
  • Under is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans
When:  Sun, Jan 3, 2010 1:00 PM ET      
Line: SPORTSBETTING.com
Pick: Patriots +9

Point-Spreads.com New England Patriots vs Houston Texans NFL Week 17 Picks

The Bottom Line: The Pats struggle on the road, but are playing great ball lately. Be sure to get your New England Patriots vs Houston Texans NFL Week 17 Picks in now at SPORTSBETTING.com and Cash in with sign-up bonuses, weekly reload bonuses and free payouts at SPORTSBETTING.com, where betting is safe, secure and easy.

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