All eyes will be on the 2012 Super Bowl match-up between the New England Patriots and the New York Giants, Sunday Feb 5th, in Indianapolis. The Giants got a 24-20 win in New England in Week 9 and they beat the Patriots in Super Bowl XLII (2007) as +12 point underdogs. This time around NFL oddsmakers have the Patriots as -3 point favorites to win the 2012 Super Bowl over the Giants with the over/under set at 55 points. Be sure to check out the New York Giants vs New England Patriots 2012 Super Bowl Point Spread and get your prediction in early.
New England will have to make changes to their offense if TE Rob Gronkowski isn’t at 100%. They’ll want to attack the Giants with different looks and to hurry up the play calls — so the running backs don’t have to hold up too long in protection. Also, expect a heavy diet of shotgun handoffs to keep the Giants’ line honest when New England is running the football, and for the team to use motion from its wide receivers to help crack block the New York ends. They have to protect Tom Brady to allow him to find open receivers. The Giants got 5 sacks and 22 QB pressures/hits on Alex Smith in the NFC Championship game. Tom Brady gets the ball out fast and New England’s passing routes aren’t slow-developing ones. Two things to keep in mind: Matt Light and Nate Solder will be the best 1-2 punch at tackle that the Giants have faced in the playoffs and the shotgun formation will give Brady extra time to make decisions.
The Patriots are expecting tight end Rob Gronkowski to play in the Super Bowl. He injured his ankle during the AFC Championship Game, but he was able to shed the walking boot he wore when the team’s plane touched down Sunday in Indianapolis. “Rob’s getting better,” Patriots coach Bill Belichick said Wednesday morning, before the team’s latest Super Bowl XLVI practice. “We’ll just have to see where he is today. I think he’s making improvement and getting better every day, and we’ll just take it day to day. We’ll see what he is able to do today.”
New York will want to lean on the run more in order to keep Tom Brady and the Pats offense off the field. The Giants will try to maintain a balanced approach and try to run as effectively as they can. When it comes right down to it, though, the Giants have to get big plays in the passing game from Eli Manning and that terrific group of wide receivers. That won’t change in the Super Bowl, stick to what got you there. The Giants got a 24-20 win over New England in Week 9 and they’ll likely use the same tactics in the Super Bowl. It is all about pressure on Tom Brady. The Giants hounded him in the Super Bowl four years ago, and they were able to generate enough pressure to make him uncomfortable at times during the regular season matchup this season.
The Giants defense has to slow down the Patriots TEs, who had 136 total yards and two scores against them in Week 9. Maybe you just hope that Rob Gronkowski slows himself with his high ankle sprain and that New England keeps handing the ball to Aaron Hernandez instead of throwing it to him. I think you may see the Giants single cover guys on the outside and use their safeties and linebackers to double-cover the tight ends or try to close down the lanes in the middle for Brady to find those tight ends.
Recent Trends to Consider:
Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Giants are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Giants are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 playoff games as an underdog.
Giants are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 playoff games.
Patriots are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite.
Patriots are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 playoff games.
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
When: Sunday, Feb 5th, 2011 6:30 PM EST
Pick: Giants +3
Point-Spreads recommends you check out the New York Giants vs New England Patriots 2012 Super Bowl Point Spread before the 2012 Super Bowl game kicks-off.
The Bottom Line: This is a game between two quarterbacks with Super Bowl MVPs, and I would expect both to have great games. Giants and Eli get the last word, though. NFL Point Spreads Expert Tyler Morgan turned in another successful playoff weekend, posting a 2-1 against the spread record with wins on San Francisco and New York. Morgan is now 5-2 in the postseason and his 2011-2012 NFL Picks record is an astounding 84-47-4 (64 %). Tyler’s moves put thousands of dollars into his clients hands week after week during the regular season and he is now doing the same for those individuals in the playoffs. The good news for NFL Football bettors is – TYLER MORGAN’S PICKS ARE FREE – unlike most self proclaimed experts who charge big bucks to subscribers. Put a few Morgan Silver Dollars in your bank account during the 2012 NFL Playoffs by getting Tyler’s winning plays for FREE. Feel free to sign up to get NFL Picks Free!
