The biggest show in sports kicks-off, Sunday Feb 5th, as the New England Patriots take on the New York Giants for the Super Bowl XLVI. The Giants have won two straight over the Patriots as ATS underdogs. NFL oddsmakers have the Patriots as -3 point favorites to win the 2012 Super Bowl over the Giants with the over/under set at 55 points. Be sure to make your New York Giants vs New England Patriots 2012 Super Bowl Picks early.
New England (15-3, 9-1 H, 6-2 V, 10-8 ATS) TE Rob Gronkowski isn’t worried about his ankle and is expected to play, it is the Super Bowl after all. But, the ankle injury should minimize his ability to get downfield and possibly allow the Giants to single him. Gronkowski is so big and so tough to cover that he often is bracketed with a person dedicated to covering him underneath and another trying to prevent him from going deep. If Gronk can’t be Gronk, Wes Welker knows more will fall upon him.
Tom Brady and the Patriots have been leaning heavily on Welker for five years. He has caught 554 passes for 6,105 yards in those five seasons and has allowed the Patriots’ offense to reach the extremes of success. The combination of Welker’s inside game from the slot to match up with Randy Moss’ deep speed gave Brady the edge in a perfect 2007 season until the Patriots lost to the Giants in the Super Bowl. With Welker their offense has become more complicated for defenses, and there’s a lot more learning for him.
The plan will be to attack the Giants with different looks and to hurry up the play calls — so the running backs don’t have to hold up too long in protection. Also, expect a heavy diet of shotgun handoffs to keep the Giants’ line honest when New England is running the football, and for the team to use motion from its wide receivers to help crack block the New York ends. For the Patriots to win Super Bowl XLVI, Brady is going to need Welker to be all of his old self if Gronkowski isn’t 100 percent.
New York (12-7, 7-3 V, 5-4 H, 11-7-1 ATS) beat Pats QB Tom Brady four years ago in Super Bowl XLII, when Brady and his Patriots were 18-0 and hadn’t looked beatable all year. They beat him in Week 9 of this season, up in Foxborough, where no other team has beaten him in the regular season since 2006. Brady and the Patriots have won 10 games in a row since that one, which makes you wonder if the Giants have some sort of secret formula.
The Giants will try to maintain a balanced approach and try to run as effectively as they can. When it comes right down to it, though, the Giants have to get big plays in the passing game from Eli Manning and that terrific group of wide receivers. That won’t change in the Super Bowl.
There are certain basic elements of what the Giants do that have caused Brady problems in their two most recent meetings. In Super Bowl XLII, the Giants sacked Brady five times. Only once in his career has he been sacked more. In this year’s Week 9 game, they got just two sacks, but the pressure they put on him led to two interceptions and a fumble. The Giants rely on their four down linemen to generate their pass rush, and Brady was a little bit less effective this year against defenses that dropped at least seven men into coverage. He averaged 8.1 yards per attempt in such situations as opposed to 9.9 when defenses rushed at least five. In the end, though, the Giants know it’s not. And as they prepare to face Brady and the Patriots in the Super Bowl, that’s one of their psychological advantages. They know he’s great, and they know what he can do to a defense when he’s on his game. But they also know that they have the ability to get him off of his game.
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
When: Sunday, Feb 5th, 2011 6:30 PM EST
Pick: Patrriots -3
Point-Spreads recommends you check out the Giants vs Patriots Spread 2012 Super Bowl before the 2012 Super Bowl game kicks-off.
The Bottom Line: The Giants are winning with some luck on their sides. But, they’ll need more than that this weekend. Pick the Pats to cover. NFL Point Spreads Expert Tyler Morgan turned in another successful playoff weekend, posting a 2-1 against the spread record with wins on San Francisco and New York. Morgan is now 5-2 in the postseason and his 2011-2012 NFL Picks record is an astounding 84-47-4 (64 %). Tyler’s moves put thousands of dollars into his clients hands week after week during the regular season and he is now doing the same for those individuals in the playoffs. The good news for NFL Football bettors is – TYLER MORGAN’S PICKS ARE FREE – unlike most self proclaimed experts who charge big bucks to subscribers. Put a few Morgan Silver Dollars in your bank account during the 2012 NFL Playoffs by getting Tyler’s winning plays for FREE. Feel free to sign up to get NFL Picks Free!