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Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Spread 2011 NFL Week 17 Predictions

by Scott Burgess on Friday, December 30th, 2011

The Denver Broncos play host to the Kansas City Chiefs, Sunday Jan 1st, who look to play spoiler this week and deny the Broncos a playoff berth. It’s simple for Tim Tebow and the Broncos: Beat the Chiefs this week and claim the division title. NFL oddsmakers have the Broncos as -3 point home favorites over the Chiefs with the over/under set at 37.5 points. Be sure to get the latest Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Spreads before making your 2011 NFL Predictions Week 17.

Kansas City (6-9, 3-4 V) lost to Oakland 13-16 (OT), at home, in Week 16. QB Kyle Orton threw for 300 yards, with his only touchdown pass going to Dwayne Bowe with 1:02 left in regulation to tie the game. Orton hit Bowe for 25 yards and Terrance Copper for 11 more to set up Ryan Succop for a potential winning field goal on the final play of the game. Succop’s 49-yard try was blocked by Trevor Scott to send the game to overtime. Raiders kicker Sebastian Janikowski kicked a 36-yard field goal 2:13 into overtime for the win.

Kansas City is the AFC’s lowest-scoring team, averaging 13.7 points, but is facing a Denver defense which has allowed an average of 30.8 in December. The Chiefs actually have a pretty good defense as has been on display since head coach Todd Haley was fired. Kansas City finished 10-6 in 2010 to win the AFC West, but its downfall this season led to the firing of coach Todd Haley and the promotion of defensive coordinator Romeo Crennel to interim coach. Crennel, who coached Cleveland from 2005-08, knows he’s partially auditioning to be named the full-time coach next season. The Chiefs won his debut 19-14 over previously unbeaten Green Bay on Dec. 18 before last week’s letdown. “I know there are some questions about my status and how this game might affect my status,” Crennel said. “I’ve said all along that at the end of the year, a decision is going to be made, and I was going to do the best I could for the three games I had an opportunity to do that.”

Denver (8-7, 3-4 H) lost big to Buffalo 14-40, on the road, in Week 16. QB Tim Tebow finished with a career-worst four interceptions as the Broncos fell into a tie with Oakland for first place in the AFC West. Tebow completed only 13 of 30 passes. Denver lost its second in a row while squandering a chance to inch closer to clinching its first playoff berth since 2005.

Recent history appears to be on the Broncos’ side, having won nine of the last 10 home games against the Chiefs. The last time the teams met in Denver, the Broncos won 49-29 on Nov. 14, 2010, when Orton threw for four touchdowns and Tebow tossed one and ran for another in spot duty. The Broncos, whose last five opponents have averaged 154.8 rushing yards, have given up 40-plus points in back-to-back games for the first time since it happened three straight times in 1964. “I mean, I love Kyle, but I couldn’t care less,” Denver offensive lineman Zane Beadles said of facing his former teammate. “It’s the Broncos vs. the Chiefs. We’ve got to beat the Chiefs to get in the playoffs. And it doesn’t matter who’s on their team.”

Recent Trends to Consider:
Over is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings.
Chiefs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Denver.
Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Chiefs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
Broncos are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos
When: Sunday, Jan 1st, 2011 4:15 PM EST
Pick: Chiefs +3

Point-Spreads recommends you check the Chiefs vs Broncos Spreads before the game kicks-off.

The Bottom Line: Let’s go Chiefs defense, get after Tebow.  NFL Point Spreads Expert Tyler Morgan went 4-1 ATS in Week 16, winning on underdogs Buffalo vs Denver to bring his NFL Predictions record to 73-39-4 for the season. Morgan, whose 2011 NFL Picks are hitting at 65% against the spread. Tyler’s moves have put thousands of dollars into his clients hands week after week. The good news for NFL Football bettors is  – TYLER MORGAN’S PICKS ARE FREE – unlike most self proclaimed experts who charge big bucks to subscribers. Put a few Morgan Silver Dollars in your bank account by getting Tyler’s winning plays for FREE. Feel free to sign up to get NFL Picks Free!

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