The 2012 Super Bowl has arrived as the New England Patriots take on the New York Giants today, Sunday Feb 5th, at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. The Giants have won two straight over the Patriots as ATS underdogs. NFL oddsmakers have the Patriots as -3 point favorites to win the 2012 Super Bowl over the Giants with the over/under set at 55 points. Be sure to make your New York Giants vs New England Patriots 2012 Super Bowl Picks now.
New York (12-7, 7-3 V, 5-4 H, 11-7-1 ATS) beat Pats QB Tom Brady four years ago in Super Bowl XLII, when Brady and his Patriots were 18-0 and hadn’t looked beatable all year. They beat him in Week 9 of this season, up in Foxborough, where no other team has beaten him in the regular season since 2006. Brady and the Patriots have won 10 games in a row since that one, which makes you wonder if the Giants have some sort of secret formula.
The Giants will try to maintain a balanced approach and try to run as effectively as they can. When it comes right down to it, though, the Giants have to get big plays in the passing game from Eli Manning and that terrific group of wide receivers. With the Patriots’ explosive offense and the Giants’ questionable D, it doesn’t take a gridiron genius to figure out that one key to the game for the Giants will be keeping the ball out of Tom Brady’s hands with a ground game that sets the physical tempo and tone by converting on third down, devouring the clock and scoring TDs instead of field goals once inside the red zone. After throwing two picks against the Giants in Week 9, Brady tossed only two more interceptions the rest of the regular season.
New England (15-3, 9-1 H, 6-2 V, 10-8 ATS) TE Rob Gronkowski isn’t worried about his ankle and is expected to play, it is the Super Bowl after all. But, the ankle injury should minimize his ability to get downfield and possibly allow the Giants to single him. Gronkowski is so big and so tough to cover that he often is bracketed with a person dedicated to covering him underneath and another trying to prevent him from going deep. If Gronk can’t be Gronk, Wes Welker knows more will fall upon him.
Even if not 100 percent their offense has many other weapons to pick from. Tom Brady and the Patriots have been leaning heavily on Welker for five years. He has caught 554 passes for 6,105 yards in those five seasons and has allowed the Patriots’ offense to reach the extremes of success. The combination of Welker’s inside game from the slot to match up with Randy Moss’ deep speed gave Brady the edge in a perfect 2007 season until the Patriots lost to the Giants in the Super Bowl. With Welker their offense has become more complicated for defenses.
After surrendering a league-worst 79 pass plays of 20-plus yards during the regular season, the Patriots have only allowed four big plays in the playoffs. The hodgepodge collection of defensive backs has done a better job of not allowing balls to fly over the top, and the elimination of the deep ball has resulted in fewer explosive plays altogether from their opponents.
Recent Trends to Consider:
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New England.
Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Giants are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Giants are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 playoff games as an underdog.
Giants are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 playoff games.
Patriots are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite.
Patriots are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 playoff games.
New York Giants vs New England Patriots
When: Sunday, Feb 5th, 2011 6:30 PM EST
Pick: Patriots -3
Point-Spreads recommends you check out the New York Giants vs New England Patriots 2012 Super Bowl Picks before the 2012 Super Bowl game kicks-off.
The Bottom Line: The Giants are winning with some luck on their sides. But, they’ll need more than that this weekend. Pick the Pats to cover. NFL Point Spreads Expert Tyler Morgan turned in another successful playoff weekend, posting a 2-1 against the spread record with wins on San Francisco and New York. Morgan is now 5-2 in the postseason and his 2011-2012 NFL Picks record is an astounding 84-47-4 (64 %). Tyler’s moves put thousands of dollars into his clients hands week after week during the regular season and he is now doing the same for those individuals in the playoffs. The good news for NFL Football bettors is – TYLER MORGAN’S PICKS ARE FREE – unlike most self proclaimed experts who charge big bucks to subscribers. Put a few Morgan Silver Dollars in your bank account during the 2012 NFL Playoffs by getting Tyler’s winning plays for FREE. Feel free to sign up to get NFL Picks Free!
