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2009 Kentucky Derby Preview Part III PDF Print E-mail
Written by Point Spreads News Wire
Friday, 01 May 2009
Point-Spreads.com brings you the third and final installment of VegasInsider.com resident horse racing picks expert Anthony Stabile’s 2009 Kentucky Derby Preview. The 135th Run for the Roses and first race in the Triple Crown is set to start soon and racebook BetUS.com has I Want Revenge listed as the slight favorite with +350 odds and Dunkirk a close second at +400 odds.

2009 Kentucky Derby Preview III - The field for Kentucky Derby 135 is finally set, but it doesn’t include the twenty horses we thought would be running on Saturday. In fact, three horses – Quality Road, Square Eddie and Win Willy – were declared from the race in the days and hours leading up to Wednesday’s draw.

It looked as if we’d have a Nick Zito-less Derby until Wednesday morning when he announced that Nowhere to Hide would run after the defection of Win Willy. After breaking his maiden in his fifth try at Calder in the last start of his juvenile season, Nowhere to Hide has run fourth in three graded stakes this year, the G3 Risen Star, G3 Tampa Bay Derby and G2 Illinois Derby. Shaun Bridgmohan has the call.

Atomic Rain was able to get in on Tuesday, giving trainer Kelly Breen a double shot at making Derby history as Atomic Rain and stablemate West Side Bernie will be his first two starters in the event. Still eligible for an entry level allowance contest, Atomic Rain hasn’t won since breaking his maiden at Monmouth Park last June. He was fourth in the G1 Wood Memorial under Joe Bravo, who’s back aboard for the Derby, in his last start.

Join in the Dance did just that on Tuesday, giving Todd Pletcher three starters for this years Run for the Roses after it appeared as if just six weeks ago that Pletcher, like Zito, wouldn’t be in Louisville for the big one this Saturday. A winner just once in eight starts, Join in the Dance set the pace and tired to be second by a neck in the T.B. Derby two back before tiring to fifth in the G1 Blue Grass last out. Chris DeCarlo will ride.

The second of Pletcher’s runners, Advice, is another who was on the fence until Thursday though his win in the G2 Lexington last out garnered him more than enough of those precious graded stakes earnings. In his lone start on dirt, Advice  was fifth in the Sunland Derby two back with blinkers which were removed in the Lexington, where he came from dead last on the far turn to win going away. Rene Douglas picks up the mount.

The last of Pletcher’s trio arguably offers him his best chance at winning the roses this year and is perhaps his best chance yet at winning the Derby. His name is Dunkirk and in just three starts, he’s encountered more than most horses will in twenty.

In his late January unveiling at Gulfstream, Dunkirk broke from post 3 and found himself bottled up behind a wall of horses after breaking slowly. On the far turn, jockey Edgar Prado jerked Dunkirk to the outside before turning him loose in the stretch to win by a widening 5 ¾ lengths.

Get the rest of VegasInsider.com Horse Racing Expert Anthony Stabile’s 2009 Kentucky Derby Betting Preview Part III here. Stabile will be reporting LIVE from Churchill Downs this weekend and offering up his expert advice daily exclusively at VegasInsider.com. All bettors looking to make wagers on the 2009 Kentucky Derby should purchase Anthony Stabile’s winning horse picks.

BetUS.com has posted horse racing betting odds to win the 2009 Kentucky Derby:

West Side Bernie: +3000
Musket Man: +2000
Mr Hot Stuff: +2800
Advice: +2800
Hold Me Back: +1400
Friesan Fire: +500
Papa Clem: +2000
Mine That Bird: +5000
Join in the Dance: +4000
Regal Ransom: +2500
Chocolate Candy: +1500
General Quarters: +2000
I Want Revenge: +350
Atomic Rain: +5000
Dunkirk: +400
Pioneerof the Nile: +500
Summer Bird: +4000
Nowhere to Hide: +5000
Desert Party: +1500
Flying Private: +4000




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Last Updated ( Friday, 01 May 2009 )
 
 
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