2012 Kentucky Derby Picks

kentucky derby borel indyAs any handicapper knows, predicting a winner in the Kentucky Derby is a difficult task. The large field often complicates the assignment as favorites can sometimes get lost in the shuffle or tripped up in a congested start. With that in mind, it may be a good idea to narrow one’s Kentucky Derby Picks to individual match-ups. The odds makers at SBG Global have provided bettors with just such an opportunity by pitting the colts against one another, including favorites Union Rags and Bodemeister. The latest Horse Racing Odds have Union Rags listed as a -165 moneyline favorite to finish ahead of Bodemeister in tomorrow’s 138th Run for the Roses.

The most favorable Kentucky Derby Picks Match-ups:

Take Charge Indy -130 vs Daddy Nose Best +100: Daddy Nose Best comes into Saturday’s race having won three of its last four races, but the colt has yet to distinguish itself against higher level competition. Take Charge Indy, on the other hand, has, besting the field at the Grade 1 Florida Derby in late March. Also working in Take Charge Indy’s favor is the fact that three time Derby winner Calvin Borel will have its mount tomorrow evening. Borel, a notorious rail rider, and Take Charge Indy will start the race from Post 3, which is a prime position for the veteran jockey. Pick: Take Charge Indy (-130).

El Padrino -125 vs Daddy Long Legs -105: El Padrino produced a lackluster fourth place finish in its last prep race, the Florida Derby, but it won an Allowance race and the Grade 2 Risen Star Stakes prior to that disappointment. Daddy Long Legs took first in the Grade 2 UAE Derby at the end of March, but the colt finished a dismal 12th in its lone dirt track race, the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. El Padrino, a veteran of six dirt track races, also has the better starting post at 16 (Daddy Long Legs will start on the rail in Post 1). The gate produced last year’s winner Animal Kingdom as well as 2001 winner Monarchos, 1999 winner Charismatic, and 1995 winner Thunder Gulch.  Pick: El Padrino (-125).

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2012 Kentucky Derby Picks: Provided by SBG Global

Union Rags -165 vs Bodemeister +135

Dullahan +135 vs Gemologist -165

Creative Cause -115 vs I’ll Have Another -115

Take Charge Indy -130 vs Daddy Nose Best +100

Alpha +110 vs Hansen -140

El Padrino -125 vs Daddy Long Legs -105

Went The Day Well -200 vs Done Talking +170

Sabercat -135 vs Optimizer +105

Trinniberg +140 vs Prospective -170

Liaison -120 vs Rousing Sermon -110