2011 Belmont Stakes Picks

I begin today's Belmont Stakes blog quoting myself from back on May 21, the day of the Preakness. "My favorite of today's long-shots is Shackleford, coming off at 12-to-1 odds, posting from Gate-5." I wasn't so lucky with my Kentucky Derby pick, but came close with Nehro, finishing second behind Animal Kingdom, a colt not on my radar screen.

2011 Belmont Stakes PicksFor Saturday's Belmont Stakes Odds , colts that interest me most are Master of Hounds getting 10/1 odds with Garrett Gomez riding, Nehro getting 4/1 odds, to be ridden by Corey Nakatani and Mucho Macho Man getting 10/1 with Raymon Dominguez aboard.

If Master of Hounds can stay out of trouble coming out of Gate-1 and avoid getting boxed in, I like his ability to close. He finished fifth in the Kentucky Derby and his owner opted out of the Preakness. Master of Hounds has never won a stakes race but could pull an upset Saturday.

Nehro has made it a habit of running out of track but the longer mile and a half at Belmont could be right up his alley. This is a horse that has a habit of running second, finishing G-2 Louisiana, G-1 Arkansas and Kentucky Derbies in second. This colt has been tested thoroughly this season but lacks a stakes win. Nehro is coming off a needed 5-week rest after working hard in three stakes races in six weeks. He is a stalker so I like his chances. At 4/1 so do oddsmakers.

Mucho Macho Man has one stakes race at Louisiana Fairgrounds in the Risen Star and was the favorite in the Louisiana Derby. He is considered one of the fastest horses in the field but his downside is he's fallen below his potential. If Mucho Macho Man runs like he's capable of, he could win this one. With Dominguez aboard, Mucho Macho Man is getting 10/1 odds.

My pick to win this 143rd Belmont  is Nehro getting 4/1 odds Belmont Stakes Odds .

Gate                 Horse                     Jockey              Odds

1.               Master of Hounds         G. Gomez          10/1
2.               Stay Thirsty                 J. Castellano      20/1
3.               Ruler on Ice                J. Valdivia Jr.      20/1
4.               Santiva                       S. Bridgmohan   15/1
5.               Brilliant Speed             J. Rosario          15/1
6.               Nehro                         C. Nakatani         4/1
7.               Monzon                      J. Lezcano          30/1
8.               Prime Cut                   E. Prado             15/1
9.               Animal Kingdom          J. Velazquez         2/1
10.             Mucho Macho Man        R. Dominguez     10/1
11.             Isn't He Perfect            R. Maragh          30/1
12.             Shackleford                J. Castanon           9/2