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UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin Odds & Predictions

by Scott Burgess on Friday, June 10th, 2011

UFC 131 was scheduled to be Brock Lesnar vs Junior Dos Santos. But, Lesnar was forced from the card due to diverticulitis. Now, the upper brass at UFC were able to salvage the main event by slotting Shane Carwin in to face Junior Dos Santos, Saturday June 11th, in Vancouver Canada. Shane Carwin will face Junior Dos Santos in a fight that will likely decide the number one contender for Cain Velasquez’s heavyweight title. MMA oddsmakers have Junior Dos Santos as -170 moneyline favourite over Shane Carwin who is listed as a +130 underdog. Be sure to check out MMA Odds before making your UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin predictions.

Junior Dos Santos (-170) vs Shane Carwin (+130)

Shane Carwin’s (12-1) tendency to dish out brutal and swift knockouts to the likes of Frank Mir and Gabriel Gonzaga make him one of the most feared heavyweights in the game.  However, Shane Carwin may best be known for his epic collapse in his UF C 116 title clash with Lesnar.  After dealing Lesnar a serious beating in round one, Carwin’s body shut down in round two and he was submitted by an arm triangle choke.  Carwin has been on the shelf for almost a year, recovering from injuries, and will need to have his conditioning in order to deal with Dos Santos.

Dos Santos (12-1) is a phenomenal athlete who mixes great footwork with devastating strikes.  A disciple of the Noguiera brothers, his ground work is solid as well.  After steamrolling through his first five Octagon appearances, Dos Santos faced a stiff challenge in Roy Nelson at UFC 117.  Nelson got hit with everything but the kitchen sink but would not go down, which tested Dos Santos’ conditioning and resolve.  Junior showed great mental toughness by not panicking when Nelson would not go away.

PREDICTION: someone will be sleeping in the first round. Both have the power for a one punch knock-out. Carwin +130

Kenny Florian (-325) vs Diego Nunes (+250)

Kenny Florian (14-5) is one of the most talented fighters in the sport and will set a new record as he will be the first fighter in UFC history to compete in four weight classes. Florian has made great improvements in his game, especially his takedowns.  Florian has always been able to fall back on his striking as his elbows are razor sharp and his jab is second to none, just ask Takanori Gomi.  Florian is ruthless from top position and has a mean streak to go with his willingness to finish fights.  “Ken-Flo” has trouble with powerful wrestlers (see Maynard, Gray), but he won’t have that problem against Muay Thai specialist Diego “The Gun” Nunes.

Diego Nunes (16-1) was smoking in his biggest win to date, a split decision victory at UFC 125 against former champ Mike Brown.  He’ll have to keep a few in the chamber if he hopes to compete with Florian (gotta love those gun analogies).  The game Nunes is a tricky striker with five decision victories in the WEC/UFC, with the lone loss being to wrestler L.C. Davis.   “The Gun” has great kicks, an aggressive style and is unafraid to pull the trigger from top position and work for submissions.

PREDICTION: Florian is too talented and will play to his strengths while neutralizing Nunes, but will have to see how Florian’s weight loss will affect his body.

UFC 131 Betting Odds:
Demian Maia (-105) vs Mark Munoz (-125)
Donald Cerrone (-525) vs Vagner Rocha (+325)
Krzysztof Soszynski (-525) vs Mike Massenzio (+325)
James Head (EVEN) vs Nick Ring (-130)
Michihiro Omigawa (-325) vs Darren Elkins (+250)
Yves Edwards (+120) vs Sam Stout (-150)
Dustin Poirier (-525) vs Jason Young (+325)
Chris Weidman (-550) vs Jesse Bongfeldt (+325)

Point-Spreads.com recommends you check out MMA Odds before UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin

The Bottom Line: Carwin to win and Florian to win. Be sure to check out MMA Odds before making your UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin predictions.

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