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2012 EURO Cup Final Spain vs Italy Odds & Predictions

by Scott Burgess on Sunday, July 1st, 2012

The 2012 EURO Cup Final has been set as Spain takes on Italy, Sunday July 1st, at Olympic Stadium, in Kyiv, Ukraine for a chance at winning their second straight EURO Cup. The Italians are unbeaten against Spain at major tournaments (penalties shoot-outs excluded), with three wins and four draws. EURO oddsmakers have listed Spain as slight+115 moneyline favorites to beat Italy (+250) with a DRAW at +230. The over/under is currently set a 2 goals. Be sure to make your 2012 EURO Cup Finals Spain vs Italy Predictions before the match begins.

Spain has found it increasingly difficult to score in open play as the tournament has progressed. Its penalty shootout victory over Portugal in the semifinals after a 0-0 draw was far from the most entertaining match of the championship to date. Its 2-0 victory over France in the quarterfinals included a penalty and its 1-0 win over Croatia in Spain’s final group match needed an 88th minute winner from Jesus Navas. That’s just two goals from open play in 300 minutes of football.

Spain coach Vicente del Bosque is well aware of his team’s predicament, due in part to opponents’ tendency to sit back and defend. “There are two parts to football, the offensive and defensive aspects, and we’re sharper on the defensive end,” he said.

More worrying for Spain is that Italy scored first when these two sides met for their opening game in the group stage on June 10. That time, Fabregas was able to produce a quick equalizer.

Italy has respected a national tradition stretching back decades of getting better as a tournament continues. Its best game by far was the Azzurri’s 2-1 victory over hot favourite Germany in Warsaw and the margin of victory should really have been greater. Italy has stuck to what’s almost a quaintly old-fashioned approach of making the net bulge with pinpoint headers and blistering shots. Mario Balotelli’s two goals against Germany were superb examples of both.

Italy has reached their ninth final at major tournaments (three at European Championships, six at the World Cup). They’ve won 63%. Italy are the only side who have never trailed at any time during Euro 2012. Italy and Spain have had the most shots at Euro 2012: 99 and 86 respectively. Italy have picked up the most bookings at Euro 2012: 15. That’s five more than Spain (10). The Azzurri are unbeaten in their 15 competitive games under Cesare Prandelli: 10 wins and five draws.

The Bottom Line: Italy might find it very difficult to recover for yet another big game on two-days rest, against a team that wears its opponents down with passing and possession. Want to dominate the books this season with some of the best EURO Picks Experts in the business? Then sign up right now and get EURO Picks Free!

Spain vs Italy
When: Sunday July 1st, 2:45 PM ET
Pick: Spain +115

Point-Spreads recommends you make your 2012 EURO Cup Spain vs Italy Predictions before the match begins.

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