It is perhaps the most exciting weekend of the NFL season as eight teams vie for a spot in two conference championship games. And it has to be more titillating than what last weekend’s Wild Card round gave us, which was four lopsided games. According to Bovada’s latest 2017 NFL Divisional Playoff Odds, the offshore bookmaker is anticipating at least one blowout this weekend, with New England favored by a whopping 16 points over the Houston Texans. The other three games, however, are expected to be more tightly contested.
The Falcons, the two seed in the NFC, are favored by 4.5 points over the Seahawks, who throttled the Lions 26-6 in last week’s Wild Card meeting at CenturyLink Field. Kickoff in tomorrow’s clash between Atlanta and Seattle is set for 4:35pm ET.
The Packers and Cowboys are now first on tap Sunday with the Chiefs/Steelers game getting pushed back to an 8:20pm ET start due to anticipated inclement weather in Kansas City. Dallas is drawing a -4 spread at home in spite of Green Bay’s dominant performance against the Giants last weekend.
Almost everyone, odds makers included, sees Sunday night’s clash between the Steelers and Chiefs as the most intriguing Divisional Round matchup. Kansas City, which suffered two of its four regular season losses at Arrowhead, is lined as a -1 home favorite over Pittsburgh, which extended its winning streak to eight games by defeating Miami 30-12 last weekend.
All four Divisional Playoff games are rematches with the Falcons, Packers, Texans and Chiefs looking to avenge regular season losses to their respective divisional round opponents. Atlanta and Kansas City suffered 26-24 and 43-14 road setbacks to the Seahawks and Steelers, respectively. Green Bay fell 30-16 at home to Dallas in Week 6 and Houston was shut out 27-0 in New England in Week 3.
2017 NFL Divisional Playoff Betting Trends:
New England vs Houston –
The Patriots are 7-1 straight up and 6-2 against the spread in eight meetings with the Texans. New England is 10-2 in Divisional Playoff games under Bill Belichick. The Patriots are 5-0 both straight up and against the spread in their last five games playing as a -10 or more home favorite. The Texans are 1-11 SU and 2-10 ATS playing as a road dog coming off a home win in which they scored 24 or more points.
Pittsburgh vs Kansas City –
Andy Reid teams are 19-2 straight up coming off a bye. The Chiefs are 3-1 both SU and ATS in their last four games playing as a home favorite against the Steelers. Kansas City is 15-2 SU since 1994 playing as a home favorite coming off a division road win. The Steelers are 2-6 both SU and ATS in their last eight games playing on the road coming off a home win in which they scored 30 or more points.
Seattle vs Atlanta –
The Seahawks are 7-1-1 against the spread in their last nine games playing as a road dog coming off a home win. The Falcons are 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS in their last five games playing as a home favorite coming off a home win.
Green Bay vs Dallas –
The Packers are 5-0 straight up in their last five games coming off back to back 30 or more point games. The Cowboys are 2-10 against the spread in their last 12 games playing as a -4 or greater home favorite coming off a loss.
My 2017 NFL Divisional Playoff Picks: Seahawks +4.5, Patriots -16, Packers +4, Chiefs -1
2017 NFL Divisional Playoff Odds: NFL Odds Provided by Bovada.lv
Saturday, January 14 –
4:35pm ET FOX
Seattle Seahawks +4.5 (-110), Over 52 (-105), +170 (Moneyline)
Atlanta Falcons -4.5 (-110), Under 52 (-115), -200 (Moneyline)
8:15pm ET CBS
Houston Texans +16 (+100), Over 44.5 (-110)
New England Patriots -16 (-120), Under 44.5 (-110)
Sunday, January 15 –
4:40pm ET FOX
Green Bay Packers +4 (-105), Over 52.5 (-110), +165 (Moneyline)
Dallas Cowboys -4 (-115), Under 52.5 (-110), -190 (Moneyline)
8:20pm ET NBC
Pittsburgh Steelers +1 (+100), Over 44.5 (-105)
Kansas City Chiefs -1 (-120), Under 44.5 (-115)