The Cincinnati Reds host the New York Mets tonight, Wednesday July 27th, for Game 3 of a four game series after the Mets took the first two. These two have split their last eight meetings dating back to the 2010 season. MLB oddsmakers have the Reds as -140 moneyline home favourites over the Mets (+125) with the over/under set at 9 runs. Be sure to get your New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds prediction in now.
NY Mets (52-51, 30-25 V) have won five of their last ten games and have won three of their last five away from home. The Mets are 13.5 games back from the top of the NL East. The tag team of David Wright and Daniel Murphy are getting wins for the Mets. They scored six unearned runs thanks to three Cincinnati errors in an 8-6 win Tuesday. Wright and Murphy paced the Mets' 4-2 win a night earlier, totalling four hits and two RBIs. Wright is 10 for 24 with three doubles, one homer and seven RBIs in five games since returning from a back injury that sidelined him in May. Murphy has a .353 average with 34 RBIs since May 20, and has collected seven hits and four RBIs in the past three games. Wright, batting .253, has a .346 average with nine home runs and 26 RBIs in 41 games against the Reds, while Murphy is 13 for 35 with eight RBIs in eight contests.
Mike Pelfrey (5-9, 4.73) struggled again Friday, giving up four runs and five hits, including two homers, with four walks in six innings while not getting a decision in a 7-6 win at Florida. Pelfrey is 0-2 with a 5.29 ERA over his last three starts. He 2-8 with a 5.79 ERA in 13 road starts, and won his only two decisions in Cincinnati while compiling a 5.50 ERA in three games. However, he hasn't appeared there since a victory on April 8, 2009.
Cincinnati (50-53, 27-25 H) has dropped six of their last ten games and have lost three of their last five on home turf. The Reds sit 5 games back from NL Central leading St. Louis. They are trying to rebound from one of their worst defensive showings of the season after getting outscored 12-8. Pitching and the Mets hot duo are killing the Reds.
Bronson Arroyo (7-8, 5.56) had a bad outting Friday, giving up three homers among nine hits and four runs overall in 6 2/3 innings of a 6-4 defeat to Atlanta. But, Arroyo is looking to continue his dominance of the Mets. The right-hander is 7-2 with a 3.31 ERA in 11 starts against them, winning his last five decisions in six games behind a 2.54 ERA. He's also conceded just two homers in that stretch. Arroyo has been victimized by the long ball all season, giving up a major-league-high 29, two fewer than his career high set in 2006 and matched in 2009. He's surrendered 12 over his last five starts while going 1-2 with a 7.63 ERA.
Recent Trends to Consider:
Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
Mets are 5-1 in Pelfreys last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Reds are 11-1 in their last 12 during game 3 of a series.
Reds are 4-0 in Arroyos last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Pelfreys last 4 starts vs. Reds.
Under is 7-1-1 in Arroyos last 9 starts vs. Mets.
Reds are 5-1 in Arroyos last 6 starts vs. Mets.
New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds
When: Wednesday July 27th@7:10 PM ET
Pick: Reds -140
Point-Spreads recommends you check out MLB Odds before the New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds game.
The Bottom Line: The Reds have their best on the mound. Be sure to get your New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds prediction in now.
