Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers NLCS Game-4 Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers manager Joe Torre is taking a risk by having ace right hander Derrick Lowe start Monday night against the Philadelphia Phillies in the National League Championship Series Game-4 at Dodgers Stadium in Los Angeles. If Lowe and the Dodgers can pull off a win, it would even the series at 2-2. Lowe went 14-11 with a 3.24 ERA. A Phillies win today would bring the team only one win away from a trip to the world series. Pitching for the Phillies is hard throwing righthander Joe Blanton. Blanton went 4-0 for the Phillies with a 4.20 ERA since joining the team at mid-season in a deal with Oakland.
Oddsmakers at Bodog (Bodoglife.com) currently have the Dodgers listed as 190-moneyline favorites versus the Phillies, while the game's total is sitting at 7½. The Phillies are getting +170 money line odds.
Blanton delivered against the Brewers in Game 4 of the NLDS, his biggest start since being traded to Philly from Oakland in mid-July. The right-hander earned the win in the Phils' series-clinching victory over Milwaukee, holding the Brewers to one run on five hits in six innings. Despite struggling with his control at times during the past two months, Blanton did not walk a Brewers batter. Blanton has started twice against the Dodgers this season and earned a no-decision each time, allowing a total of five earned runs in 11 innings for a 4.09 ERA.
By pitching Lowe on three days' rest in Game 4, Dodgers manager Joe Torre has set up his rotation so that if the NLCS goes the distance, his top three starters will go on full rest. He said that sinkerballer Lowe would be able to better handle the rigors of going on short rest. Lowe is 2-1 with a 5.09 ERA in 23 innings over four starts on three days' rest, but also pitched a gem under those conditions to defeat Torre's Yankees in Game 7 of the 2004 ALCS.
The Dodgers struck back in Game 3 on Sunday night with a 7-2 victory over the Phillies as a -160 favorite. The nine runs scored went OVER the posted over/under total (8).
Blake DeWitt had three RBI for the Dodgers, while Rafael Furcal was 2-4 with a solo home run and two runs scored. Hiroki Kuroda earned the win after allowing only two runs on five hits in six innings.
Ryan Howard was 2-4 with a run scored for Philadelphia, while Jamie Moyer was roughed up for six runs on six hits in only 1 1-3 innings.
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